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Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1. The Kings scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zachary Bolduc's goal at 9:27 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were LAK 26, STL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. David Rittich stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.1 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Holloway (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Kyrou (1 A), 3. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Holloway1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK1801008126
STLSTL210110114434

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    K. Fiala(24)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:43
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:37
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:07

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:27

3rd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn (25), R. Suter (11)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:34

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:51STLRadek Faksa · Interferencedrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

3rd

  • 4:02LAKVladislav Gavrikov · Holding the stickdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 11:31LAKWarren Foegele · High stickingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 16:30LAKJacob Moverare · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 16:30STLJordan Kyrou · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Moverare2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalLAK goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Zachary Bolduc, 2nd 9:27 — STL 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.44O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.21C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.17P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.17R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.14D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.14J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.13D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.10O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.09C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.05P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.05R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.05R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.05C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.04D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.03D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 3.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsSTL
1.81 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.70 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK31%69%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsSTL
26
Shots on goal
34
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
34
10
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
16
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011-130.05110—24:58
44M. AndersonD000010.02210—24:01
84V. GavrikovD000-110.01202—21:20
6J. EdmundsonD000-110.02120—21:17
9A. KempeR000-120.2801010018:23
22K. FialaL101-230.1010010017:39
24P. DanaultC000-220.181106717:38
11A. KopitarC011-130.642104517:13
37W. FoegeleL000-120.14102—17:01
12T. MooreL000-100.06100—16:44
14A. LaferriereR000-120.1120010015:39
55Q. ByfieldR000000.081004515:00
21J. SpenceD000-300.00100—13:36
43J. MoverareD000-200.00132—11:58
15A. TurcotteC000030.08000011:43
61T. LewisC000-120.072002511:38
10T. JeannotL000-110.01400—10:38
26A. ThomasC000-100.002005009:43
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31D. Rittich(L)34304.8822.85-1.1557:51

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).