Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Edvinsson's goal at 11:35 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 1.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were DET 16, MIN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Filip Gustavsson stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Simon Edvinsson (2 G), 2. Jared Spurgeon (1 A), 3. Dylan Larkin.
Three stars
- ★S. Edvinsson2 G

- ★★J. Spurgeon1 A

- ★★★D. Larkin

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-17:17
0-211:11
2nd period
1-210:12
2-213:12
3rd period
3-211:35
Penalties
1st
- 5:56
Simon Edvinsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
2nd
- 3:03
Elmer Soderblom · High stickingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
- 8:11
Mats Zuccarello · Hookingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
- 17:18
Dylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
- 17:18
Jake Middleton · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Simon Edvinsson, 3rd 11:35 — 48% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.53 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.9
- 1.43 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.0
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 1.84
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 16
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 25
- Hits
- 21
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 18
- Giveaways
- 16
- 2
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
4@
3OTFinal
3@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
