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Islanders at Jets
NHL

New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
FinalTV MSGSN, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New York Islanders 4-3. The Islanders scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 14:50 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYI 35, WPG 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.7 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Gabriel Vilardi (2 G), 2. Kyle Connor (2 A), 3. Mark Scheifele (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    G. Vilardi2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI2907119335
WPGWPG1931206427

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(14)
    J. Pageau (17)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:05
  2. WPG
    A. Iafallo(8)
    D. Samberg (9), B. Lambert (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:27
  3. NYI
    M. Gatcomb(3)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:07

2nd period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(23)
    K. Connor (38), M. Scheifele (31)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:23
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(17)
    C. Perfetti (23), V. Namestnikov (19)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:50
  3. WPG
    G. Vilardi(24)
    M. Scheifele (32), K. Connor (39)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:18

3rd period

  1. NYI
    K. Palmieri(15)
    A. Lee (18), A. Romanov (13)
    snapxG 0.48win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-4
    11:07

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

2nd

  • 2:05NYIBo Horvat · Interferencedrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 8:42NYITony DeAngelo · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

3rd

  • 1:02WPGCole Perfetti · Hookingdrawn by Scott Perunovich2 min
  • 6:09WPGColin Miller · Cross checkingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 13:11WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNYI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 2nd 14:50 — WPG 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.22G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.18V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.17N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 2.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWPG
2.93 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.13 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI61%39%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWPG
35
Shots on goal
27
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
18
15
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4T. DeAngeloD000-120.09112—27:10
3A. PelechD000-120.12000—24:35
28A. RomanovD011030.09050—24:09
29B. NelsonC000+120.080204321:27
27A. LeeL011-140.55200—21:14
21K. PalmieriC101+130.54010021:06
26S. PerunovichD000000.03120—20:46
14B. HorvatC000-340.170026520:26
34A. BoqvistD000040.22010—17:24
11A. DuclairL000-320.22100—16:54
7M. TsyplakovR000020.24010—15:26
44J. PageauC011010.060008012:30
10S. HolmstromR101+110.12010—12:11
53C. CizikasC000+120.23500011:27
32K. MacLeanC000010.060003808:44
16M. GatcombC101010.08210008:19
18P. EngvallL000010.03200—08:18
25D. CholowskiD000000.00000—06:14
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)27234.8522.29-1.7157:40

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).