Philadelphia Flyers at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Utah Mammoth beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Dylan Guenther scoring at 4:59. The Flyers scored first; the Utah Hockey Club answered. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Guenther's goal at 4:59 of overtime, which took the Utah Hockey Club's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Utah Hockey Club, 4.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were PHI 20, UTA 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Utah Hockey Club win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Dylan Guenther (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mikhail Sergachev (1 G, 2 A), 3. Samuel Ersson (39 saves, .929).
Three stars
- ★D. Guenther2 G, 1 A

- ★★M. Sergachev1 G, 2 A

- ★★★S. Ersson39 saves, .929

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-02:02
2nd period
1-13:32
2-14:29
3rd period
2-28:40
Overtime
2-34:59
Penalties
1st
- 13:42
Liam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
- 13:42
Nicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
2nd
- 9:19
Rodrigo Abols · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 12:26
Nick Seeler · Holdingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
- 19:38
Sean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
3rd
- 13:29
Liam O'Brien · Trippingdrawn by Rodrigo Abols2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dylan Guenther, OT 4:59 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.72 G
- All situations
- 3 G4.3
- 1.62 G
- Even strength
- 3 G3.8
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.68 – 4.29
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 20
- Shots on goal
- 42
- 38%
- Faceoffs
- 62%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/3
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 7
- 24
- Hits
- 29
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 17
- Giveaways
- 17
- 5
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
UTA leads 2-0
4@
2Final
2@
3OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
