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Winnipeg Jets at Washington Capitals

Final/OTTV NHLN, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Washington Capitals 5-4 in overtime, Josh Morrissey scoring at 1:57. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Morrissey's goal at 1:57 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were WPG 30, WSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.7 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Morrissey (2 G), 2. Matt Roy (3 A), 3. Dylan Samberg (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    M. Roy3 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    D. Samberg1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG213181712530
WSHWSH0621021201429

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:13
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:41

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:12
  2. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:03
  3. WSH
    M. Roy (11)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:54

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    1:10
  2. WSH
    D. Strome (35), M. Roy (12)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-3
    7:26
  3. WSH
    T. Wilson (17), M. Roy (13)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +35 ptsVideo
    4-4
    12:21

Overtime

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.27win prob +51 ptsVideo
    5-4
    1:57

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:48WSHLars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Cole Perfetti2 min

2nd

  • 7:46WPGDylan Samberg · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min
  • 9:04WSHAliaksei Protas · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

3rd

  • 2:33WPGColin Miller · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 2:33WSHAndrew Mangiapane · Roughingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalWPG goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Morrissey, OT 1:57 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.21D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.19A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.16J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.16P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.13D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.12T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.11A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.09T. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.05B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.04A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.02E. Frank · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.02E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsWSH
3.15 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.84 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG65%35%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsWSH
30
Shots on goal
29
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
21
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD202-230.49030—24:54
4N. PionkD022+240.05110—23:44
2D. DeMeloD000-310.04030—23:12
54D. SambergD112+230.05002—21:47
55M. ScheifeleC022000.020007021:23
81K. ConnorL011020.21000—20:13
27N. EhlersL000020.53010—19:06
13G. VilardiC000-110.37000018:29
7V. NamestnikovC022040.370006417:19
62N. NiederreiterR000000.04010—15:12
91C. PerfettiC112020.58010014:44
15R. KupariC000020.213005314:40
22M. AppletonC000020.01000014:19
64L. StanleyD000010.03220—13:24
6C. MillerD000000.00012—13:07
19D. GustafssonC000020.030106709:32
9A. IafalloL101010.05000—08:24
73P. FordC000000.01300008:22
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)29254.8622.26-1.7461:57

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).