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Blue Jackets at Golden Knights
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Vegas Golden Knights

Final/OTTV FDSNOH, SCRIPPS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1 in overtime, Cole Sillinger scoring at 0:52. The Golden Knights scored first; the Blue Jackets answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Sillinger's goal at 0:52 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 2.5, VGK 2.6; shots on goal were CBJ 24, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Cole Sillinger (1 G), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G), 3. Elvis Merzlikins (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    C. Sillinger1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ18060713224
VGKVGK112070700126

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:58
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.36win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:34

Overtime

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.44win prob +51 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:52

Penalties

CBJ 2 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:27CBJMathieu Olivier · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 13:48VGKTomas Hertl · High stickingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCBJ goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Cole Sillinger, OT 0:52 — CBJ 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.20M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.18J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.17V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.16S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.15M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.13M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.13S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.11P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.11J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.06B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.00I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 2.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsVGK
2.52 G
All situations
1 G2.6
2.52 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ44%56%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsVGK
24
Shots on goal
26
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
18
Hits
10
13
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD011+130.21010—28:05
15D. FabbroD000020.34030—24:20
9I. ProvorovD000+110.02000—20:36
19A. FantilliC101+150.480005318:12
5D. MateychukD000+100.00000—17:13
86K. MarchenkoR000+110.14000—17:07
91K. JohnsonC011010.28010016:39
10D. VoronkovL011+110.08200—16:38
4C. SillingerC101010.470202415:54
78D. SeversonD000-110.07000—15:05
21J. van RiemsdykL000-110.02000—15:00
2J. ChristiansenD000-120.05320—14:25
7S. KuralyC000010.172105014:09
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000010.03200—14:06
65L. Del Bel BelluzC000000.001003313:56
24M. OlivierR000000.00632—13:54
82M. PyyhtiaL000020.02000—12:59
17J. DanforthR000010.0820010012:18
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(W)26251.9622.59+1.5960:52

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).