Columbus Blue Jackets at Vegas Golden Knights
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1 in overtime, Cole Sillinger scoring at 0:52. The Golden Knights scored first; the Blue Jackets answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Sillinger's goal at 0:52 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 2.5, VGK 2.6; shots on goal were CBJ 24, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Cole Sillinger (1 G), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G), 3. Elvis Merzlikins (25 saves, .962).
Three stars
- ★C. Sillinger1 G

- ★★T. Hertl1 G

- ★★★E. Merzlikins25 saves, .962

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-14:58
1-118:34
Overtime
2-10:52
Penalties
1st
- 5:27
Mathieu Olivier · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
- 13:48
Tomas Hertl · High stickingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Cole Sillinger, OT 0:52 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.52 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.6
- 2.52 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.4
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.56
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 18
- Hits
- 10
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 17
- Giveaways
- 11
- 5
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
2@
1OTthis game
4@
0Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
