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Lightning at Blackhawks
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV CHSN, FDSNSUN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Nikita Kucherov scoring at 0:58. The Lightning came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 0:58 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were TBL 40, CHI 14. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 11 of 14 (.786), 1.4 goals below expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 36 of 40 (.900). Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Louis Crevier (1 G), 3. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    L. Crevier1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    J. Guentzel1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL11211011711440
CHICHI25180100314

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:59
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:29
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:47

2nd period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:59
  2. TBL
    V. Hedman (32), B. Hagel (31)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:52

3rd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.18win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:18

Overtime

  1. TBL
    slapxG 0.13win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:58

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:35CHIColton Dach · Hookingdrawn by Mitchell Chaffee2 min

2nd

  • 2:55TBLDarren Raddysh · Trippingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 14:12TBLNikita Kucherov · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

3rd

  • 17:34CHIAlec Martinez · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 19:56CHITeuvo Teravainen · Trippingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalTBL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, OT 0:58 — TBL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.28F. Nazar · Goal · xG 0.13R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.12P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.10C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.10A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.09C. Dach · Missed · xG 0.09N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.08I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.07E. Del Mastro · Missed · xG 0.07I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.07L. Crevier · Goal · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dach · Goal · xG 0.05P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.03T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.03T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.02P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dach · Missed · xG 0.01C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.01E. Del Mastro · Missed · xG 0.01L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 1.7 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCHI
3.64 G
All situations
3 G1.7
2.31 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
1.03 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL81%19%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.56 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCHI
40
Shots on goal
14
53%
Faceoffs
47%
3/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
17
12
Blocked shots
10
18
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86N. KucherovR123-220.30002—25:04
27R. McDonaghD000-100.00020—22:57
77V. HedmanD022-130.20020—21:56
65M. CrozierD000-130.11200—20:52
59J. GuentzelC112-250.610103320:24
43D. RaddyshD011-260.10212—20:11
21B. PointC011-140.501003319:28
78E. LillebergD000020.04310—18:24
38B. HagelL011020.14110—18:08
71A. CirelliC000-120.350106017:26
20N. PaulL101+130.331005017:12
48N. PerbixD000000.00000—14:58
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.13100014:40
14C. GeekieC000020.15420012:59
11L. GlendeningC000000.070107810:39
23M. EyssimontC000020.07200010:18
41M. ChaffeeR101020.33000—08:38
13C. AtkinsonR000010.13000—06:27
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(W)14113.7861.65-1.3560:09

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).