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Jets at Utah Hockey Club
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV Utah16, TVAS·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-2. The Utah Hockey Club scored first and never trailed. The Utah Hockey Club led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Olli Maatta's goal at 16:00 of the second period, which took the Utah Hockey Club's chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Utah Hockey Club, 2.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were WPG 25, UTA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 2.1 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Barrett Hayton (1 G, 2 A), 2. Logan Cooley (1 G), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    B. Hayton1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    L. Cooley1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0110628225
UTAUTA01021038528

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. UTA
    slapxG 0.02win prob +21 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:00
  2. UTA
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:42

3rd period

  1. UTA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:53
  2. UTA
    J. Doan (3), B. Hayton (14)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    8:04
  3. WPG
    snapxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    8:32
  4. WPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    11:48
  5. UTA
    C. Keller(16)EN
    snapxG 0.59Video
    2-5
    17:55

Penalties

WPG 16 PIM·UTA 12 PIM

2nd

  • 0:35WPGNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 9:49WPGDylan DeMelo · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min

3rd

  • 17:55UTAMichael Kesselring · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 17:55WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min
  • 17:55UTAMichael Kesselring · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:55WPGMark Scheifele · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalWPG goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Olli Maatta, 2nd 16:00 — UTA 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.59L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.16N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.14J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.12L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.12M. Maccelli · Goal · xG 0.11L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.09B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.09N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.06J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.06L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.06N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.05I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.04M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.04L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.03L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.03M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.02L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.01J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.00
UTA5 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsUTA
2.02 G
All situations
4 G2.5
2.02 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG51%49%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 1.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsUTA
25
Shots on goal
28
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/0
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
12
21
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
81K. ConnorL000-410.19010—23:56
54D. SambergD011-120.07020—23:48
4N. PionkD000-200.03022—23:14
44J. MorrisseyD000-200.01000—22:23
55M. ScheifeleC011-120.2600125320:20
2D. DeMeloD101-140.14132—18:44
64L. StanleyD000010.02400—17:41
7V. NamestnikovC000010.152002115:53
13G. VilardiC000-120.14020015:36
9A. IafalloL000-110.14000—15:30
6C. MillerD000000.00500—15:09
27N. EhlersL022+120.18000—14:35
62N. NiederreiterR101020.05200—14:02
15R. KupariC000-200.003201812:29
36M. BarronC000040.30300012:23
91C. PerfettiC000-210.12100012:15
19D. GustafssonC000020.200105011:20
17A. LowryC000000.000005005:18
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)27234.8521.92-2.0859:24

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).