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Wild at Avalanche
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
1
FinalTV FDSNNO, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yakov Trenin's goal at 2:08 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were MIN 26, COL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Yakov Trenin (1 G), 2. Liam Ohgren (2 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    Y. Trenin1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    L. Ohgren2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1901324326
COLCOL0417016127

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Middleton(7)
    L. Ohgren (1), F. Gaudreau (11)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:18

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(18)
    S. Girard (17)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:52

3rd period

  1. MIN
    Y. Trenin(4)
    D.Jiricek (2), L. Ohgren (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:08
  2. MIN
    B. Faber(6)
    R. Hartman (8), J. Middleton (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:43

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 15:21COLKeaton Middleton · Interferencedrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 18:01COLRoss Colton · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 0:11MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 4:56COLArtturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min
  • 8:02MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 15:42COLCasey Mittelstadt · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

3rd

  • 5:41MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Interferencedrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalMIN goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Yakov Trenin, 3rd 2:08 — MIN 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.20M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.15J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.15R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.13C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.09L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.07L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Innala · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.05C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.00A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 2.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCOL
3.03 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.13 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN57%43%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCOL
26
Shots on goal
27
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
7
Hits
16
17
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD101+130.23010—28:17
12M. BoldyL000030.59010—26:35
14J. Eriksson EkC000030.760365025:43
36M. ZuccarelloR000020.16000—25:13
5J. MiddletonD112020.11040—23:43
24Z. BogosianD000010.01120—18:15
4J. MerrillD000000.00020—16:45
23M. RossiC000010.070005016:42
89F. GaudreauC011+300.001105014:44
17M. FolignoL000010.26000—13:44
47D. ChisholmD000+120.03000—13:39
55D.JiricekD011+210.41000—13:33
38R. HartmanR011+110.010005712:39
13Y. TreninC101+120.14300010:37
22M. KhusnutdinovC000-100.000106709:55
28L. OhgrenL022+330.20000—09:04
94J. LaukoC000010.03100007:52
19D. ShoreC000-100.00120007:00
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)27261.9632.12+1.1260:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).