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Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Danton Heinen's goal at 15:49 of the first period, which took the Canucks' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 2.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were EDM 15, VAN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.8 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 13 of 15 (.867), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Quinn Hughes (2 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 3. J.T. Miller (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Miller2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM072503215
VANVAN3160506327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    Q. Hughes(11)PPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:38
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.36win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:49
  3. VAN
    Q. Hughes(12)PPG
    J. Miller (23), B. Boeser (13)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:00

2nd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:01
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:38

Penalties

EDM 23 PIM·VAN 19 PIM

1st

  • 14:32EDMEvan Bouchard · Slashingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 17:19EDMMattias Ekholm · High stickingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

2nd

  • 1:24EDMDarnell Nurse · Trippingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 7:42VANCarson Soucy · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 12:42VANKiefer Sherwood · High stickingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

3rd

  • 15:20EDMMattias Ekholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 19:57EDMConnor McDavid · Match penaltydrawn by Conor Garland5 min
  • 19:57VANTyler Myers · Slashingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 19:57EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Roughingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 19:57EDMZach Hyman · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 19:57VANConor Garland · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 19:57VANElias Pettersson · Roughingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 19:57EDMEvan Bouchard · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 19:57EDMMattias Ekholm · Roughingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 19:57EDMLeon Draisaitl · Roughingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 19:57VANDerek Forbort · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 19:57VANJ.T. Miller · Roughingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 19:57VANTyler Myers · Match penaltydrawn by Evan Bouchard5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalEDM goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Danton Heinen, 1st 15:49 — VAN 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.36N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.32J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.22E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.14D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.12M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.10D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09Q. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.03P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.02D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.00P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVAN
1.52 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.11 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM36%64%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVAN
15
Shots on goal
27
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/2
Power play
2/4
33
Penalty minutes
29
9
Hits
18
18
Blocked shots
13
17
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC011+120.2110154324:30
14M. EkholmD000010.23026—24:29
2E. BouchardD000+110.07024—24:07
29L. DraisaitlC202020.540023823:42
18Z. HymanL000+120.15002—23:02
27B. KulakD000010.03000—20:06
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011000.051223319:04
25D. NurseD000020.00212—18:35
92V. PodkolzinR000-100.00200—14:43
33V. ArvidssonL000-110.07110—14:33
28C. BrownR000000.00000—14:02
19A. HenriqueC000000.000205313:20
49T. EmbersonD000010.01110—12:52
13M. JanmarkC000000.00010011:09
90C. PerryR000010.06010—11:02
48N. PhilpC000010.051305010:17
44J. BrownD000000.00010—09:34
51T. StecherD000-100.00010—08:27
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)27243.8892.21-0.7957:39

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).