San Jose Sharks at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 10:42 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were SJS 19, NYI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.8 goals below expected; Marcus Hogberg stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Nelson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Pulock (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
0-18:47
1-110:02
1-210:42
1-319:33
3rd period
1-41:03
Penalties
1st
- 16:32
Ty Dellandrea · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
2nd
- 3:29
Ryan Pulock · Interferencedrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 10:42 — 53% → 72%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.51 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.2
- 1.51 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.8
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 3.10
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 19
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 40
- Hits
- 37
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 28
- Giveaways
- 24
- 2
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 2-0
1@
4this game
4@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
