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San Jose Sharks at New York Islanders

FinalTV NBCSCA, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 10:42 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were SJS 19, NYI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.8 goals below expected; Marcus Hogberg stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Nelson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Pulock (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    R. Pulock1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS041708119
NYINYI01031417431

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.42win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:47
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:02
  3. NYI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:42
  4. NYI
    M. Barzal (10), B. Horvat (19)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:33

3rd period

  1. NYI
    slapxG 0.02win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:03

Penalties

SJS 2 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 16:32SJSTy Dellandrea · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

2nd

  • 3:29NYIRyan Pulock · Interferencedrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalSJS goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 10:42 — NYI 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.42A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.23S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.18B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.17M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.15B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.14B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.13S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.09C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.08M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.08S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.07K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Goal · xG 0.02K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.01K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.01M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.00I. George · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 3.2 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNYI
1.51 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.51 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS22%78%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNYI
19
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
40
Hits
37
16
Blocked shots
20
28
Giveaways
24
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000020.24200—23:51
96J. WalmanD000-310.04020—22:03
4C. CeciD000-230.04010—21:45
3H. ThrunD000-210.00310—19:23
64M. GranlundC000-100.101004418:08
84J. RuttaD011000.00230—17:51
72W. EklundL000-210.04010—17:35
71M. CelebriniC000-230.400106717:34
21A. WennbergC000-100.002402516:36
2W. SmithC000-100.00100016:19
53T. DellandreaC000-200.002123315:52
11L. KuninC000-110.262004015:07
20F. ZetterlundL000-130.16210—14:45
91C. GrundstromR000-110.141100—13:22
44M. VlasicD000+100.00200—13:05
23B. GoodrowC101+110.0250010013:00
51C. GrafR000+100.00310—12:14
7N. SturmC000+120.072006709:30
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)31274.8713.16-0.8460:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).