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Stars at Flyers
NHL

Dallas Stars at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸4
Philadelphia Flyers
1
FinalTV Victory+, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 9:38 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.4, PHI 2.1; shots on goal were DAL 23, PHI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mavrik Bourque (1 G), 2. Miro Heiskanen (1 G), 3. Morgan Frost (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Bourque1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    M. Frost1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL291915423
PHIPHI0908111128

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    M. Bourque(3)
    M. Dumba (2), L. Stankoven (15)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:45
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(19)
    E. Dadonov (9), J. Robertson (23)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:38

2nd period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(10)
    J. Benn (18), N. Lundkvist (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    8:41

3rd period

  1. PHI
    M. Frost(8)
    T. Konecny (26), E. Zamula (7)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:47
  2. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(5)EN
    E. Lindell (11), J. Robertson (24)
    wristxG 0.45win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    16:47

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 17:08DALMathew Dumba · Hookingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 0:19PHIOwen Tippett · Trippingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 9:43DALMathew Dumba · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalDAL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, 1st 9:38 — DAL 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.21O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.17T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.16N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.12J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.12S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.11M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.11M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.10R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.09R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.09R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.09S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.08M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.04T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.04C. York · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.03E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02C. York · Missed · xG 0.01T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.00T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.00S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.00S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.00E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 2.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsPHI
2.43 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL46%54%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsPHI
23
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
5
Hits
21
15
Blocked shots
20
14
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD101+120.48010—22:48
23E. LindellD011+100.00010—20:29
55T. HarleyD000+200.00040—20:17
5N. LundkvistD011000.00030—19:44
46I. LyubushkinD000010.08100—18:15
18S. SteelC000+130.280002517:01
3M. DumbaD011+200.06204—16:40
22M. BourqueC101+140.290005015:13
24R. HintzC101+220.190104215:10
63E. DadonovL011+120.23000—14:59
53W. JohnstonC101020.220001414:58
21J. RobertsonL022+200.00000—14:48
14J. BennL011000.021105014:45
95M. DucheneC000010.130006314:40
11L. StankovenC011+220.080005014:38
15C. BlackwellC000020.171006014:34
10O. BäckC000000.070208313:39
12A. HyryR000020.05020—13:22
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)28271.9642.11+1.1160:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).