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Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals

Final/OTTV MNMT2, SN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Vancouver Canucks 2-1 in overtime, Pierre-Luc Dubois scoring at 4:19. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Luc Dubois's goal at 4:19 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — VAN 3.3, WSH 3.2; shots on goal were VAN 31, WSH 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (30 saves, .968), 2. Pierre-Luc Dubois (2 G), 3. Matt Roy (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    L. Thompson30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    WSH
    P. Dubois2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Roy1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN031210601131
WSHWSH16050215218

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:27

2nd period

  1. VAN
    C. Garland(11)PPG
    snapxG 0.32win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:23

Overtime

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.24win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:19

Penalties

VAN 10 PIM·WSH 14 PIM

1st

  • 4:19WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 4:19WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 4:19WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 4:19WSHConnor McMichael · Roughingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 4:19VANKiefer Sherwood · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 4:19VANQuinn Hughes · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 10:41VANVincent Desharnais · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

2nd

  • 17:51WSHJakob Chychrun · Hookingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min

3rd

  • 0:34WSHJakob Chychrun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:38VANPhillip Di Giuseppe · Trippingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 20:00VANNoah Juulsen · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 20:00WSHTom Wilson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalVAN goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Luc Dubois, OT 4:19 — WSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.25J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.24C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.19P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.18J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.16A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.16N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.15A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.14T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.13N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.12J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.12D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.11J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.09J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.08C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.07I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.07T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.07C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.06B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.06R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.03I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.03M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.03D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 3.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsWSH
3.31 G
All situations
2 G3.2
2.30 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN49%51%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsWSH
31
Shots on goal
18
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
0/2
10
Penalty minutes
14
27
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
12
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011-120.22002—27:13
57T. MyersD000-220.05100—24:48
8C. GarlandR101030.40010—20:42
6B. BoeserR000-130.36000—19:48
24P. SuterC000030.541107319:44
9J. MillerC000-130.363005019:33
7C. SoucyD000000.04250—19:17
20D. HeinenL000010.09100—18:05
74J. DeBruskL000-110.21210—17:50
53T. BluegerC000-110.121104717:43
44K. SherwoodL011020.32722—17:23
47N. JuulsenD000020.04142—17:00
27D. ForbortD000010.05110—16:06
73V. DesharnaisD000010.01312—13:16
23J. LekkerimäkiR000-120.18000—12:15
34P. Di GiuseppeL000010.06212—09:45
21N. HoglanderL000020.17100—09:43
63M. SassonC000010.051001709:12
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(O)18162.8893.20+1.2063:53

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).