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Predators at Jets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV FDSNSO, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Nashville Predators 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Morrissey's goal at 6:46 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.6 to 3.1; shots on goal were NSH 28, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.3 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (26 saves, .929), 2. Mark Scheifele (2 A), 3. Morgan Barron (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck26 saves, .929
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Barron1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH01016112228
WPGWPG31101029530

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    M. Barron(4)
    Unassisted
    xG 0.52win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:30
  2. WPG
    J. Morrissey(5)
    D. DeMelo (7), A. Lowry (13)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:46
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(23)
    M. Scheifele (24), V. Heinola (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:36

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(10)PPG
    R. Josi (19), J. Marchessault (16)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:45

3rd period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(19)PPG
    N. Ehlers (22), M. Scheifele (25)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    7:51
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(8)
    V. Hinostroza (1), G. Nyquist (10)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-4
    9:25
  3. WPG
    N. Niederreiter(11)EN
    A. Lowry (14)
    wristxG 0.40Video
    2-5
    17:55

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·WPG 16 PIM

1st

  • 11:59WPGDylan Coghlan · High stickingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min

2nd

  • 10:57WPGNeal Pionk · Holdingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 16:18WPGNeal Pionk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 2:43NSHVinnie Hinostroza · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Kupari2 min
  • 2:43WPGRasmus Kupari · High sticking double minordrawn by Colton Sissons4 min
  • 7:42NSHJustin Barron · Holdingdrawn by David Gustafsson2 min
  • 10:31WPGLogan Stanley · High sticking double minordrawn by Jonathan Marchessault4 min
  • 13:05WPGKyle Connor · Hookingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNSH goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Morrissey, 1st 6:46 — WPG 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barron · Goal · xG 0.52N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.40G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.24C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.17M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.16G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.09C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.04V. Heinola · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02V. Heinola · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.00V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.00A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.00D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsWPG
3.62 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.11 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
1.51 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH64%36%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.53 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsWPG
28
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/7
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
16
17
Hits
17
7
Blocked shots
24
15
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD112050.32000—28:51
81J. MarchessaultR011-250.320205023:35
9F. ForsbergL101-240.66100—22:08
90R. O'ReillyC000040.580005021:39
76B. SkjeiD000030.13300—21:06
14G. NyquistR011-110.37000—18:54
10C. SissonsC000000.0042010016:42
82T. NovakC000-220.250005016:40
37N. BlankenburgD000-130.29210—16:32
47M. McCarronC000000.001103615:58
17M. JankowskiL000-100.391006015:55
20J. BarronD000000.00002—15:24
40F. SvechkovC000-200.040005015:02
24S. StastneyD000-200.02000—14:33
12V. HinostrozaC011+100.11102012:04
2L. SchennD000-200.01300—12:02
91S. StamkosC000-110.091002009:30
77L. EvangelistaR000-100.00010—04:02
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)29264.8972.73-1.2759:14

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).