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Dallas Stars at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV Victory+, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the New York Rangers 5-4 in overtime, Jamie Benn scoring at 2:17. The Stars came back from three goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 2:17 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.9, NYR 3.1; shots on goal were DAL 39, NYR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.9 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (1 G), 2. Thomas Harley (1 G, 2 A), 3. Vincent Trocheck (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Harley1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL2191911011539
NYRNYR39091800426

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:56
  2. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:55
  3. NYR
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    11:24
  4. DAL
    deflectedxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:57
  5. DAL
    E. Dadonov(11)PPG
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:56

2nd period

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:14

3rd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad (17), A. Fox (30)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-4
    12:56
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +40 ptsVideo
    4-4
    17:21

Overtime

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(11)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +51 ptsVideo
    5-4
    2:17

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:21NYRBraden Schneider · Holdingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min

2nd

  • 1:12DALNils Lundkvist · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 11:20DALThomas Harley · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

OT

  • 0:25NYRArtemi Panarin · Hookingdrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalDAL goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, OT 2:17 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.22A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.20A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.20V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.18A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.16A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.14A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.12B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.12J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.08W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.07F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07A. Edstrom · On goal · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.00K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNYR
2.95 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.43 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.52 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL49%51%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNYR
39
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
25
15
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000040.27040—30:43
23E. LindellD011+100.00020—25:32
55T. HarleyD123060.31022—24:41
53W. JohnstonC000+130.090005520:31
95M. DucheneC101+130.160003319:52
5N. LundkvistD000-220.07022—19:44
21J. RobertsonL112050.64110—17:21
24R. HintzC011010.110006017:21
14J. BennL101+120.23310—16:44
18S. SteelC011000.001102015:13
63E. DadonovL112020.20100—15:12
22M. BourqueC011040.302005015:11
11L. StankovenC000040.330005015:10
2B. SmithD000+110.01000—13:43
10O. BäckC000-110.04020011:55
15C. BlackwellC000-100.1120010010:53
12A. HyryR000-110.032007508:42
46I. LyubushkinD000000.00000—06:39
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)26224.8463.08-0.9262:17

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).