Bruins at Rangers 1-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Boston Bruins

New York Rangers

▸2

FinalTV NESN, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Boston Bruins 2-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 7:57 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 14% to 29%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.7, NYR 2.5; shots on goal were BOS 33, NYR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (32 saves, .970), 2. Brett Berard (1 G), 3. Mika Zibanejad (1 G).

Three stars

★
J. Quick32 saves, .970
★★
B. Berard1 G
★★★
M. Zibanejad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	08	113	012	133
NYR	28	012	07	227

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

M. Zibanejad(7)
R. Smith (10), C. Kreider (2)
wristxG 0.35win prob +13 ptsVideo
0-1
9:48
B. Berard(3)
F. Chytil (7)
snapxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
0-2
12:53

2nd period

E. Lindholm(7)
D. Pastrnak (25), C. McAvoy (12)
wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
1-2
7:57

Penalties

2 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

3:41K'Andre Miller · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
4:08David Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NYR

100%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 2nd 7:57 — BOS 14% → 29%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 2.5 xG · 32 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.7 xG · 52 att NYR

2 G · 2.5 xG · 32 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.71 G
All situations: 2 G2.5; 2.71 G
Even strength: 2 G2.5; 0.10 G
Power play: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

54%46%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

33
Shots on goal: 27; 52%
Faceoffs: 48%; 0/1
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 2; 18
Hits: 16; 17
Blocked shots: 24; 15
Giveaways: 18; 6
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Boston Bruins skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
73C. McAvoyD	0	1	1	0	3	0.23	1	1	0	—	25:56
63B. MarchandL	0	0	0	+1	3	0.23	0	1	0	—	22:46
91N. ZadorovD	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	3	3	0	—	22:16
28E. LindholmC	1	0	1	+1	2	0.26	0	3	0	52	21:28
88D. PastrnakR	0	1	1	-1	7	0.19	0	0	2	—	21:23
6M. LohreiD	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	2	0	—	19:45
29P. WotherspoonD	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	2	0	—	17:41
25B. CarloD	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	1	0	—	17:07
52A. PeekeD	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	0	0	—	17:01
11T. FredericC	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	1	0	33	16:46
18P. ZachaC	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	0	1	0	0	16:32
39M. GeekieC	0	0	0	-2	2	0.39	0	1	0	14	14:22
55J. BrazeauR	0	0	0	0	4	0.57	2	0	0	—	14:12
13C. CoyleC	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	0	80	14:05
71O. WahlstromR	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	0	0	100	12:13
47M. KastelicC	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	2	0	0	100	09:25
45C. KoepkeL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	—	08:34
19J. BeecherC	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	1	0	33	08:26

Boston Bruins goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
1J. Swayman(L)	27	25	2	.926	2.53	+0.53	58:02

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Jan 21@2this game
Feb 13@6Final
Feb 52@3Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Boston Bruins at New York Rangers

1st period

2nd period

2nd

Box score