Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 9:18 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were VAN 24, CGY 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Zary (1 G), 2. Nazem Kadri (1 G), 3. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★C. Zary1 G

- ★★N. Kadri1 G

- ★★★J. Huberdeau1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-114:31
3rd period
1-16:15
1-29:18
1-318:58
Penalties
1st
- 7:01
Rasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
- 7:01
J.T. Miller · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
2nd
- 7:10
Erik Brannstrom · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
- 7:10
Ryan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom5 min
- 7:12
Kevin Bahl · Fightingdrawn by J.T. Miller5 min
- 7:12
J.T. Miller · Fightingdrawn by Kevin Bahl5 min
- 10:03
Noah Juulsen · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
- 10:03
MacKenzie Weegar · Roughingdrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min
- 10:03
Noah Juulsen · Roughingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
- 10:46
Tyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
- 13:14
Ryan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Derek Forbort5 min
- 13:14
Derek Forbort · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
- 13:47
Vincent Desharnais · Roughingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
- 13:47
Blake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
- 16:16
Mikael Backlund · Hookingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min
3rd
- 5:37
Blake Coleman · High stickingdrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 3rd 9:18 — 52% → 83%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.81 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.6
- 1.50 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.4
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 2.53
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 25
- Penalty minutes
- 25
- 29
- Hits
- 28
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 11
- Giveaways
- 15
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
6@
5OTFinal
1@
3Final
1@
3this game
4@
3SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
