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Canadiens at Golden Knights
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV SCRIPPS, TSN2·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirby Dach's goal at 10:09 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.1, VGK 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 22, VGK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Adin Hill stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirby Dach (1 G), 2. Samuel Montembeault (27 saves, .931), 3. Zach Whitecloud (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    K. Dach1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    Z. Whitecloud1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL091528322
VGKVGK2808013229

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:23
  2. VGK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:48

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:27

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:58
  2. MTL
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:09

Penalties

MTL 2 PIM·VGK 0 PIM

2nd

  • 9:11MTLChristian Dvorak · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMTL goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Kirby Dach, 3rd 10:09 — MTL 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.21Z. Whitecloud · Goal · xG 0.16J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.15N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.15T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.14K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.10N. Hanifin · Goal · xG 0.10V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08C. Schwindt · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.00T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 2.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsVGK
2.13 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL47%53%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsVGK
22
Shots on goal
29
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
39
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
11
14
Giveaways
23
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
21K. GuhleD000-110.00400—24:20
45A. CarrierD000-110.13110—23:08
8M. MathesonD000+100.02210—21:27
48L. HutsonD000+120.04010—21:23
14N. SuzukiC011+100.201005018:19
17J. AndersonR011030.144305016:24
71J. EvansC000+110.072007315:52
58D. SavardD011+110.02020—15:40
20J. SlafkovskýL011+110.12400—15:36
13C. CaufieldR101+140.28200—15:12
77K. DachC101-130.291106714:57
28C. DvorakC000000.000027314:36
40J. ArmiaR000+110.06420—14:28
72A. XhekajD000+110.01200—14:20
15A. NewhookC000-100.153002514:06
92P. LaineL000-100.03200—14:03
11B. GallagherR000020.29200—13:34
51E. HeinemanL101+110.19500—10:35
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(W)29272.9312.22+0.2260:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).