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Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals

FinalTV MNMT, NESN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Boston Bruins 3-1. The Bruins scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aliaksei Protas's goal at 12:05 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 40% to 54%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.2 to 3.4; shots on goal were BOS 27, WSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jakob Chychrun (1 G), 2. Logan Thompson (26 saves, .963), 3. Jeremy Swayman (24 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Chychrun1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    L. Thompson26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman24 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS11006011127
WSHWSH2110818327

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:21
  2. WSH
    P. Dubois (23), T. Wilson (12)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:05
  3. WSH
    snapxG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:11

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Protas(16)EN
    T. Wilson (13), N. Dowd (4)
    wristxG 0.78win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:51

Penalties

BOS 10 PIM·WSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 16:56BOSMark Kastelic · High stickingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min
  • 19:47BOSCharlie McAvoy · Slashingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
  • 19:47WSHConnor McMichael · Slashingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

2nd

  • 7:36WSHMatt Roy · Interferencedrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 15:11WSHJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

3rd

  • 8:40BOSNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 10:26BOSBrandon Carlo · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 10:26WSHConnor McMichael · Roughingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 10:26BOSCharlie Coyle · Roughingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
  • 10:26WSHAndrew Mangiapane · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Carlo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalBOS goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Aliaksei Protas, 1st 12:05 — WSH 40% → 54%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.78N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.50A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.36T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.22C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.22A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.17N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.15C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.12T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.12T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.10J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.08C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.08D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.07L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.07M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.04L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.04R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.02I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.02C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 4.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsWSH
3.41 G
All situations
2 G4.2
3.11 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS50%50%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.37 – 3.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsWSH
27
Shots on goal
27
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
1/2
10
Penalty minutes
10
16
Hits
26
20
Blocked shots
28
19
Giveaways
17
0
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000-110.11322—23:29
6M. LohreiD000-120.02030—22:15
29P. WotherspoonD011010.02320—21:28
28E. LindholmC000-120.260105720:18
88D. PastrnakR000-150.35000—19:17
52A. PeekeD000+110.05010—19:10
18P. ZachaC000-100.340005018:46
63B. MarchandL000-130.18010—17:57
39M. GeekieC000040.750106417:13
13C. CoyleC000000.2502210017:05
25B. CarloD000-110.02122—16:42
55J. BrazeauR101+120.51000—16:04
11T. FredericC000+110.281303315:36
91N. ZadorovD000010.02112—13:38
45C. KoepkeL000+120.14000—11:38
19J. BeecherC000-110.010103809:44
47M. KastelicC000-100.096025008:44
26M. McLaughlinC000-100.03100008:31
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)26242.9233.40+1.4058:10

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).