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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸5
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
FinalTV FDSNSUN, TSN2·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Christian Dvorak's goal at 12:34 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.6 to 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 37, TBL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Jonas Johansson stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Samuel Montembeault (21 saves, .913), 2. Joel Armia (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brandon Hagel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault21 saves, .913
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Armia1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL19214214537
TBLTBL0102805223

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    A. Newhook(7)
    M. Matheson (16), P. Laine (2)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:07

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(17)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:37
  2. MTL
    C. Dvorak(3)
    K. Guhle (6), A. Carrier (9)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:34
  3. MTL
    J. Evans(10)
    J. Armia (11)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:28
  4. TBL
    N. Kucherov(17)
    B. Point (20), D. Raddysh (11)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:54

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Armia(7)
    E. Heineman (7)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-2
    12:32
  2. MTL
    B. Gallagher(10)EN
    J. Anderson (8), A. Carrier (10)
    wristxG 0.77win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    18:08

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·TBL 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:19MTLArber Xhekaj · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

2nd

  • 0:50MTLLane Hutson · Hookingdrawn by Conor Geekie2 min
  • 16:08TBLErik Cernak · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min

3rd

  • 7:12MTLAlex Newhook · Holdingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 14:41TBLNikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Christian Dvorak, 2nd 12:34 — MTL 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.22R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.21N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.18B. Point · On goal · xG 0.15D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.15B. Point · On goal · xG 0.14G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.13B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.13B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.12B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.12N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.07E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.05M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.03G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 2.4 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
3.64 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.74 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL57%43%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
37
Shots on goal
23
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD011+200.04120—25:06
45A. CarrierD022+130.08100—21:10
48L. HutsonD000+200.00202—20:56
21K. GuhleD011+120.02000—20:34
14N. SuzukiC000-120.143205718:28
20J. SlafkovskýL000-110.05200—17:55
58D. SavardD000000.04020—17:27
13C. CaufieldR000-140.55000—17:10
92P. LaineL011+130.16010—15:29
77K. DachC000+100.000203815:17
15A. NewhookC101+120.241022514:50
28C. DvorakC101+130.440206714:00
40J. ArmiaR112+240.32200—13:54
17J. AndersonR011+210.14220—13:43
71J. EvansC101+210.162104613:12
11B. GallagherR101+141.05110—12:00
72A. XhekajD000050.15112—11:57
51E. HeinemanL011+120.05210—10:52
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(W)23212.9132.41+0.4160:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).