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Utah Hockey Club at Wild
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸2
Minnesota Wild
1
FinalTV FDSNNO, Utah16·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1. The Wild scored first; the Utah Hockey Club answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Guenther's goal at 10:01 of the third period, which took the Utah Hockey Club's chances from 55% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were UTA 18, MIN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (28 saves, .966), 2. Dylan Guenther (2 G), 3. Brock Faber.

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    B. Faber

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA180416218
MINMIN1901109129

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(7)
    K. Kaprizov (27), M. Rossi (15)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:20
  2. UTA
    D. Guenther(15)
    J. McBain (5), L. Cooley (22)
    deflectedxG 0.34win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:20

3rd period

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(16)PPG
    M. Sergachev (16), C. Keller (20)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:01

Penalties

UTA 10 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:30UTAIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 13:12UTAMatias Maccelli · Trippingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min

2nd

  • 6:17MINJonas Brodin · Trippingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 14:09MINBrendan Gaunce · Interferencedrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 17:29UTAIan Cole · Roughingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

3rd

  • 4:31UTAJuuso Välimäki · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 9:56MINJared Spurgeon · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 12:39UTAMichael Carcone · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalUTA goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Guenther, 3rd 10:01 — UTA 55% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.17M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.15F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.14M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.14M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.14J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.13F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.11M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.11M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.04M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.03B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.02D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.01T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN1 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsMIN
1.52 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.31 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.11 G
Power play
0 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA25%75%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.44 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsMIN
18
Shots on goal
29
63%
Faceoffs
37%
1/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
11
10
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011-110.20000—29:15
2O. MaattaD000010.00010—24:06
28I. ColeD000020.04124—21:32
7M. KesselringD000000.00000—18:52
9C. KellerR011020.16000—17:54
92L. CooleyC011+100.001202517:10
8N. SchmaltzC000000.070007516:17
67L. CrouseL000000.00100—15:30
22J. McBainC011+110.03300015:23
27B. HaytonC000010.010007814:35
4J. VälimäkiD000010.02012—13:46
11D. GuentherR202+130.47100—13:41
82K. StenlundC000-100.010206413:29
17N. BjugstadC000060.161102913:27
63M. MaccelliL000000.17012—13:27
15A. KerfootC000-100.0100010013:19
52V. KolyachonokD000+100.00000—09:09
53M. CarconeL000-100.10102—09:08
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)29281.9662.82+1.8260:00

Season series

UTA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).