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Golden Knights at Jets
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets

Final/OTTV SCRIPPS, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2 in overtime, Ivan Barbashev scoring at 3:47. The Jets scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 3:47 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.3 to 1.3; shots on goal were VGK 36, WPG 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Keegan Kolesar (1 G), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (33 saves, .917), 3. Nikita Chibrikov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    K. Kolesar1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck33 saves, .917
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Chibrikov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK01201021311336
WPGWPG14061901220

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.29win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:27

3rd period

  1. VGK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +26 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:34
  2. WPG
    slapxG 0.02win prob +32 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:55
  3. VGK
    snapxG 0.20win prob +43 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:11

Overtime

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:47

Penalties

VGK 2 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

2nd

  • 2:04WPGNeal Pionk · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min
  • 19:51WPGNino Niederreiter · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 0:20VGKJack Eichel · Hookingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 17:20WPGGabriel Vilardi · Trippingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min
  • 17:33WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVGK goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, OT 3:47 — VGK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Chibrikov · Goal · xG 0.29V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.13J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.10C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.09N. Chibrikov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.07C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.06N. Chibrikov · Missed · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 1.3 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsWPG
3.33 G
All situations
2 G1.3
2.92 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK83%17%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 1.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsWPG
36
Shots on goal
20
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
31
12
Blocked shots
25
13
Giveaways
15
13
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD022+100.02010—26:17
7A. PietrangeloD000020.11100—22:54
9J. EichelC000+140.120022722:08
61M. StoneR011020.12300—21:58
15N. HanifinD000030.09110—21:24
49I. BarbashevL101+110.46100—19:52
3B. McNabbD000+110.06230—19:21
71W. KarlssonC000-140.041008216:02
95V. OlofssonL101-130.42100—15:59
2Z. WhitecloudD000-200.02210—15:55
48T. HertlC000-120.122305315:20
16P. DorofeyevR000-140.56100—14:34
14N. HagueD000-100.00000—14:21
21B. HowdenC000-120.274005014:03
10N. RoyC000+100.072107113:52
55K. KolesarR101+130.19100—12:42
70T. PearsonL000+140.48110—11:59
26A. HoltzR000-110.13410—10:52
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)20182.9001.30-0.7063:35

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).