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Sharks at Hurricanes
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
FinalTV FDSNSO, NBCSCA·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Sharks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jalen Chatfield's goal at 17:21 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were SJS 23, CAR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 25 of 28 (.893); Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Jalen Chatfield (1 G), 2. Brent Burns (1 G), 3. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Chatfield1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Burns1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Gostisbehere1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS191707223
CARCAR1110829328

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(6)
    W. Carrier (4), J. Roslovic (4)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:26
  2. SJS
    L. Kunin(7)
    M. Celebrini (8), C. Ceci (6)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:51

2nd period

  1. SJS
    L. Kunin(8)
    W. Eklund (19)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:44

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Burns(2)
    S. Aho (23), M. Necas (29)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:11
  2. CAR
    J. Chatfield(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +42 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:21

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

2nd

  • 1:13CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 4:58SJSJan Rutta · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 5:38CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min
  • 13:33SJSKlim Kostin · Interferencedrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 19:47SJSKlim Kostin · Holdingdrawn by William Carrier2 min

3rd

  • 4:18CARSean Walker · Trippingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 13:39SJSMario Ferraro · Interferencedrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalSJS goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jalen Chatfield, 3rd 17:21 — CAR 52% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.25A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.23J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.20M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.17J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.17B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.13J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.12W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.12M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.11S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.11M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.06J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.06E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · Goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01
CAR3 G · 3.3 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCAR
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.72 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS28%72%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
28
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
34
Hits
31
19
Blocked shots
19
17
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
96J. WalmanD000-220.08220—22:46
71M. CelebriniC011010.123105722:39
4C. CeciD011-210.05400—21:44
64M. GranlundC000010.051005021:08
38M. FerraroD000+120.10102—20:09
72W. EklundL011+130.18010—18:21
21A. WennbergC000000.061205318:11
73T. ToffoliC000030.35000016:59
84J. RuttaD000000.00042—16:51
11L. KuninC202020.513006716:31
37T. LiljegrenD000+120.05520—15:51
23B. GoodrowC000-210.05210015:30
20F. ZetterlundL000030.14030—14:56
10K. KostinC000010.20314013:48
3H. ThrunD000000.00000—13:45
15N. KovalenkoR000000.00310—09:23
53T. DellandreaC000-110.0751010007:52
7N. SturmC000-100.0010010007:21
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)28253.8933.31+0.3158:15

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).