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Wild at Ducks
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸5
Anaheim Ducks
1
FinalTV FDSNNOX, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Rossi's goal at 8:03 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were MIN 33, ANA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.2 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Marco Rossi (2 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Boldy (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Rossi2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN01131527533
ANAANA0509113127

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Rossi(8)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (24), J. Spurgeon (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:22
  2. MIN
    M. Rossi(9)
    M. Boldy (14), B. Faber (11)
    deflectedxG 0.25win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:03
  3. MIN
    M. Boldy(12)
    M. Rossi (14), K. Kaprizov (25)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    10:51

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(17)
    M. Foligno (6), M. Boldy (15)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-0
    1:21
  2. ANA
    B. McGinn(4)
    C. Fowler (3), B. Leason (7)
    tip-inxG 0.06Video
    4-1
    16:37
  3. MIN
    Y. Trenin(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.51Video
    5-1
    18:43

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

2nd

  • 4:04ANADrew Helleson · Trippingdrawn by Jon Merrill2 min
  • 11:37ANAFrank Vatrano · Roughingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min
  • 11:37MINBrock Faber · Roughingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 11:37ANAFrank Vatrano · Roughingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min
  • 19:19ANAFrank Vatrano · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

3rd

  • 4:00MINMarat Khusnutdinov · Boardingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 16:44MINRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalMIN goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Marco Rossi, 2nd 8:03 — MIN 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.18M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.15M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.13M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.12B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.12B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.11R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.09B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.07J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.06A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.05O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.04I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.03S. Colangelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.01T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helleson · Missed · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.01B. Leason · Missed · xG 0.00D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.00O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsANA
3.44 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN63%37%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsANA
33
Shots on goal
27
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
21
21
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD011+110.05140—23:17
5J. MiddletonD000+300.00240—23:10
7B. FaberD011+330.17022—22:16
97K. KaprizovL123+250.52000—20:49
47D. ChisholmD000020.01020—18:47
12M. BoldyL123+240.490005017:46
17M. FolignoL011+140.57210—17:19
23M. RossiC213+330.500006017:17
13Y. TreninC101+110.60300016:55
89F. GaudreauC000000.000006115:48
38R. HartmanR000-110.140126415:20
4J. MerrillD000-110.00010—14:31
90M. JohanssonL000010.03010—14:13
24Z. BogosianD000-120.04000—13:45
22M. KhusnutdinovC000+110.093125012:49
19D. ShoreC000000.00210010:56
39B. JonesC000030.13110010:39
52R. JohnsonC000010.09120010:23
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)27261.9632.20+1.2060:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).