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Capitals at Maple Leafs
NHL

Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸3
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
FinalTV MNMT, TVAS·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McMichael's goal at 9:51 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were WSH 26, TOR 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Connor McMichael (1 G), 2. Nic Dowd (1 G, 1 A), 3. John Tavares (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    C. McMichael1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    N. Dowd1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0817211326
TORTOR051907121

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    N. Dowd(8)
    M. Roy (5)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:06
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(12)
    C. Tanev (6)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:31

3rd period

  1. WSH
    C. McMichael(15)
    P. Dubois (14)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:51
  2. WSH
    A. Protas(9)EN
    N. Dowd (3), T. Wilson (11)
    wristxG 0.88win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:03

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·TOR 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:29TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 11:15WSHJakob Chychrun · Hookingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 13:37TORPontus Holmberg · Trippingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 13:58WSHJohn Carlson · Interferencedrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

2nd

  • 18:35TORNick Robertson · Cross checkingdrawn by Ivan Miroshnichenko2 min

3rd

  • 3:19TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalWSH goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McMichael, 3rd 9:51 — WSH 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.21M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.17W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.15M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.14M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.12W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.11J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.09S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.09W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.08J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.06P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.04N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.00M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.00S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR1 G · 1.9 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsTOR
3.02 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH54%46%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsTOR
26
Shots on goal
21
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
17
15
Giveaways
21
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000+100.05002—22:17
74J. CarlsonD000020.07242—21:57
3M. RoyD011+230.03220—21:41
38R. SandinD000+200.02010—21:17
24C. McMichaelL101+150.72000—19:52
17D. StromeC000010.050005619:41
43T. WilsonR011010.19210—19:29
80P. DuboisC011+120.170003817:20
16T. RaddyshR000+100.09010—16:18
20L. EllerC000-130.241006716:15
42M. FehérváryD000-110.02010—16:03
21A. ProtasL101+130.92000—15:21
57T. van RiemsdykD000010.06110—15:06
88A. MangiapaneL000000.15310—14:11
26N. DowdC112+230.191108011:54
29H. LapierreC000-100.00100009:53
22B. DuhaimeL000+100.00200—09:29
63I. MiroshnichenkoL000+110.02100—07:56
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(W)21201.9521.90+0.9060:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).