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Red Wings at Senators
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Ottawa Senators
▸2
FinalTV FDSNDET, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Norris's goal at 19:17 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 52% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were DET 20, OTT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Linus Ullmark stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Norris (2 G), 2. Alex DeBrincat (1 G), 3. Drake Batherson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    J. Norris2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET080418120
OTTOTT11401315232

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(10)
    B. Tkachuk (16), D. Batherson (17)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:14

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(11)PPG
    J. Compher (7), V. Tarasenko (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +28 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:15
  2. OTT
    J. Norris(11)
    D. Batherson (18), N. Jensen (9)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +47 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:17

Penalties

DET 12 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:06DETJonatan Berggren · Hookingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 14:56DETDylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min

2nd

  • 3:24DETBen Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min

3rd

  • 4:28DETMoritz Seider · Embellishment2 min
  • 4:28OTTJosh Norris · Cross checkingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 5:00OTTClaude Giroux · Trippingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 7:19OTTTim Stützle · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 10:29DETJonatan Berggren · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min
  • 12:09OTTThomas Chabot · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 13:08DETMarco Kasper · Holdingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalDET goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Norris, 3rd 19:17 — OTT 52% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.28J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.20J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.17M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.06R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.05S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.05J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.04D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.04T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.04R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.03S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.02N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.02R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.02J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 1.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsOTT
2.41 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.50 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET60%40%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsOTT
20
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
14
13
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. ChiarotD000010.01232—26:12
46J. PetryD000000.07020—25:00
53M. SeiderD000-220.02322—24:53
23L. RaymondL000-200.30110—22:12
71D. LarkinC000-220.550025421:37
77S. EdvinssonD000-220.05010—17:52
37J. CompherL011010.100004517:44
93A. DeBrincatR101-110.2900010016:53
88P. KaneR000030.44000—15:16
27M. RasmussenC000-110.12000014:53
11V. TarasenkoR011020.17000—12:10
3J. HollD000000.01020—12:04
92M. KasperC000000.005023311:29
18A. CoppC000020.090005011:12
48J. BerggrenR000000.071045010:45
14T. MotteC000000.01000010:23
20A. JohanssonD000030.05120—09:54
36C. FischerR000000.00200—08:09
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(L)32302.9381.90-0.1059:22

Season series

OTT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).