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Predators at Canadiens
NHL

Nashville Predators at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV FDSNSO, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Nashville Predators 3-0. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrik Laine's goal at 1:14 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 78% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.1 to 3.3; shots on goal were NSH 29, MTL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 3.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Samuel Montembeault (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Jake Evans (1 G, 1 A), 3. Patrik Laine (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Evans1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    P. Laine1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH06010013029
MTLMTL11301225330

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Evans(5)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:50

3rd period

  1. MTL
    P. Laine(2)PPG
    L. Hutson (17), N. Suzuki (17)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:14
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.77Video
    0-3
    19:14

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·MTL 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:58MTLserved by B. Gallagher · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:56NSHMark Jankowski · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

2nd

  • 10:11MTLDavid Savard · Roughingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 19:21NSHGustav Nyquist · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 19:56NSHColton Sissons · Interferencedrawn by Lane Hutson2 min

3rd

  • 6:30MTLKirby Dach · Slashingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 7:54MTLJayden Struble · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 11:34MTLArber Xhekaj · Interferencedrawn by Zachary L'Heureux2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNSH goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Patrik Laine, 3rd 1:14 — MTL 78% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.77J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.27J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.21C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.18N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.18C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.17J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.17J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.16P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.16J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.15C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.14M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.14B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.13N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.13D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.12P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.09J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.09J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.07L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.07P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.04C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.03J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 4.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsMTL
3.30 G
All situations
2 G4.1
1.70 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
1.60 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH53%47%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsMTL
29
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/5
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
26
11
Blocked shots
23
19
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-210.28230—27:40
91S. StamkosC000-130.561104722:38
9F. ForsbergL000-240.81400—21:52
14G. NyquistR000-110.26002—21:09
76B. SkjeiD000010.16010—21:06
81J. MarchessaultR000-250.49000—19:43
45A. CarrierD000-110.08120—17:36
83A. WilsbyD000000.00000—16:06
10C. SissonsC000010.090126414:45
37N. BlankenburgD000000.00110—14:19
2L. SchennD000010.02300—13:43
47M. McCarronC000020.11200013:32
77L. EvangelistaR000010.05000—12:59
40F. SvechkovC000-110.021005012:51
36C. SmithR000010.01200—12:27
13J. ParssinenC000010.02010011:58
68Z. L'HeureuxL000030.20210—11:04
17M. JankowskiL000-120.140025710:35
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Annunen(L)29272.9313.14+1.1458:04

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).