Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 4:36. The Canucks scored first; the Wild answered. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 4:36 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 32, MIN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.1 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Middleton (1 G), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G), 3. Filip Gustavsson (30 saves, .938).
Three stars
- ★J. Middleton1 G

- ★★K. Kaprizov1 G

- ★★★F. Gustavsson30 saves, .938

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-08:37
2nd period
1-17:56
2-119:18
3rd period
2-21:43
Overtime
2-34:36
Penalties
1st
- 7:40
Jon Merrill · Trippingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
2nd
- 0:46
Kirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
- 13:25
Carson Soucy · Trippingdrawn by Ben Jones2 min
3rd
- 4:03
Marat Khusnutdinov · Holdingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 4:36 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.02 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.9
- 2.11 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.9
- 0.91 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.95 – 1.94
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 14
- Hits
- 20
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 14
- Giveaways
- 21
- 6
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
MIN leads 2-1
2@
3OTthis game
1@
3Final
3@
2OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
