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Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV FDSNNO, FDSNWIX·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 4:36. The Canucks scored first; the Wild answered. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 4:36 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 32, MIN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.1 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Middleton (1 G), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G), 3. Filip Gustavsson (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Middleton1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN171701602232
MINMIN013141913329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    Q. Hughes(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:37

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:56
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.12win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:18

3rd period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:43

Overtime

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:36

Penalties

VAN 2 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:40MINJon Merrill · Trippingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

2nd

  • 0:46MINKirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 13:25VANCarson Soucy · Trippingdrawn by Ben Jones2 min

3rd

  • 4:03MINMarat Khusnutdinov · Holdingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVAN goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 4:36 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.14D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11B. Jones · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.07J. Middleton · Goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.06D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.06F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.03M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 1.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsMIN
3.02 G
All situations
3 G1.9
2.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN69%31%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.95 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsMIN
32
Shots on goal
29
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
7
14
Giveaways
21
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD101-320.09010—27:00
8C. GarlandR011040.55100—24:02
57T. MyersD000-210.04000—21:55
40E. PetterssonC022-130.320204320:20
7C. SoucyD011+130.10202—20:11
74J. DeBruskL101-160.80000—19:38
6B. BoeserR000-240.40000—19:10
24P. SuterC000-110.120006018:37
47N. JuulsenD000+110.07130—18:15
73V. DesharnaisD000000.00250—17:38
26E. BrannstromD000020.24020—16:05
81D. JoshuaC000000.00010015:22
53T. BluegerC000010.030106715:07
44K. SherwoodL000010.0060010014:00
21N. HoglanderL000020.13110—13:34
20D. HeinenL000010.12000—12:11
63M. SassonC000000.00000010:10
54A. RätyC000000.001003309:15
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(O)29263.8971.95-1.0563:54

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).