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Oilers at Avalanche
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Colorado Avalanche
1
FinalTV ALT, CBC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-1. The Avalanche scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vasily Podkolzin's goal at 13:48 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 32, COL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Stuart Skinner (27 saves, .964), 2. Vasily Podkolzin (1 G), 3. Nikolai Kovalenko (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    S. Skinner27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    EDM
    V. Podkolzin1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. Kovalenko1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM110112210432
COLCOL11007011128

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. Kovalenko(4)PPG
    A. Lehkonen (5), S. Girard (12)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:02
  2. EDM
    K. Kapanen(2)
    C. McDavid (19), R. Nugent-Hopkins (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:48

2nd period

  1. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(3)
    T. Stecher (3), C. Brown (5)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:48

3rd period

  1. EDM
    B. Kulak(5)
    T. Emberson (2), J. Skinner (4)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:56
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(4)EN
    A. Henrique (5), E. Bouchard (12)
    wristxG 0.80Video
    4-1
    18:28

Penalties

EDM 14 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:27EDMMattias Janmark · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alexandar Georgiev2 min

2nd

  • 2:28COLValeri Nichushkin · High stickingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 5:59EDMEvan Bouchard · Trippingdrawn by Nikolai Kovalenko2 min
  • 14:14EDMCorey Perry · Hookingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 16:38COLNikolai Kovalenko · Cross checkingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min
  • 17:59EDMConnor McDavid · Roughingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min

3rd

  • 6:35EDMMattias Ekholm · Roughingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 6:35COLChris Wagner · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 11:17EDMConnor Brown · High stickingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 20:00EDMAdam Henrique · Roughingdrawn by John Ludvig2 min
  • 20:00COLJohn Ludvig · Roughingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalEDM goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Vasily Podkolzin, 2nd 13:48 — EDM 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.22V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.19J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.18N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.17N. Kovalenko · Goal · xG 0.15C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05J. Ludvig · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kovalenko · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.00J. Ludvig · On goal · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 2.6 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCOL
4.23 G
All situations
1 G2.6
2.43 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM61%39%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.24 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCOL
32
Shots on goal
28
70%
Faceoffs
30%
0/2
Power play
1/5
14
Penalty minutes
8
9
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
9
2
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD000+200.00002—22:57
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC112+241.540105021:51
2E. BouchardD011+220.10212—21:02
97C. McDavidC011+140.270026320:21
25D. NurseD000+110.07140—20:08
29L. DraisaitlC000+140.450006820:06
49T. EmbersonD011+110.00120—19:56
27B. KulakD101+110.01010—19:13
28C. BrownR011+200.0001210015:45
19A. HenriqueC011+240.561126015:27
13M. JanmarkC000+110.0701210014:29
42K. KapanenR101+110.17320—14:13
51T. StecherD011+120.16000—14:10
92V. PodkolzinR101+120.29000—13:03
53J. SkinnerL011+130.21000—11:27
90C. PerryR000000.21002—09:43
10D. RyanC000010.031108908:18
8D. CaggiulaL000010.06000—06:16
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)28271.9642.61+1.6160:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).