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Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV FDSNW, KTTV·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1. The Ducks scored first; the Kings answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Laferriere's goal at 1:18 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.6, ANA 2.7; shots on goal were LAK 18, ANA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Erik Portillo stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.5 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 16 of 18 (.889). Three stars: 1. Erik Portillo (28 saves, .966), 2. Ryan Strome (1 G), 3. Adrian Kempe.

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    E. Portillo28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Strome1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK081614218
ANAANA09110012131

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:48
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:46

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.31win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:18

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:22LAKTanner Jeannot · Interferencedrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min
  • 13:54ANARadko Gudas · Hookingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

2nd

  • 5:08LAKBrandt Clarke · Cross checkingdrawn by Sam Colangelo2 min
  • 11:58ANARyan Strome · Roughingdrawn by Andre Lee2 min

3rd

  • 5:13LAKWarren Foegele · Interferencedrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 20:00ANATrevor Zegras · Roughingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
  • 20:00LAKMikey Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalLAK goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Laferriere, 3rd 1:18 — LAK 48% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.20C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.20T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.14F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.13A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.11R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.11M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.10D. Helleson · Missed · xG 0.10S. Colangelo · On goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.09M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.09T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.08I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.08R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.05O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.03M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.03B. Leason · Missed · xG 0.03T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.03A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.02B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.02T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.00B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.00R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsANA
2.62 G
All situations
1 G2.7
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK39%61%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsANA
18
Shots on goal
31
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
25
9
Blocked shots
20
11
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
84V. GavrikovD000+100.02030—27:16
44M. AndersonD000010.00102—26:17
9A. KempeR000010.12100—22:04
11A. KopitarC000010.190106520:41
6J. EdmundsonD000+100.00120—18:44
22K. FialaL000010.13110—18:30
24P. DanaultC011020.311005317:59
55Q. ByfieldR000+110.680004017:16
14A. LaferriereR112+130.57000—16:55
92B. ClarkeD011+120.05012—15:48
37W. FoegeleL000010.16002—14:45
21J. SpenceD000000.10000—14:39
61T. LewisC000020.09400012:38
15A. TurcotteC101+120.17100011:41
10T. JeannotL000000.00002—11:01
43J. MoverareD000-100.00010—10:22
47A. LeeL000000.00200—09:30
79S. HeleniusC000010.0260010007:54
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Portillo(W)29281.9662.48+1.4858:37
31D. Rittich2201.0000.18+0.1801:23

Season series

LAK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).