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Canucks at Sabres
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres

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Vancouver Canucks
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
3
Final/OTTV MSG-B, SNP·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-3 in overtime, Conor Garland scoring at 3:59. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Conor Garland's goal at 3:59 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were VAN 22, BUF 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Conor Garland (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Boeser (2 A), 3. Dylan Cozens (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    C. Garland2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Boeser2 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    D. Cozens1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN06192611422
BUFBUF170721802334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    B. Byram(4)
    Z. Benson (2)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:33

2nd period

  1. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(7)
    P. Suter (5), B. Boeser (6)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:12

3rd period

  1. VAN
    C. Garland(7)PPG
    B. Boeser (7), Q. Hughes (19)
    tip-inxG 0.36win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:15
  2. VAN
    P. Suter(8)
    C. Garland (13)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    9:00
  3. BUF
    D. Cozens(5)
    C. Clifton (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    3-2
    13:18
  4. BUF
    A. Tuch(8)
    D. Cozens (5), Z. Benson (3)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +38 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:57

Overtime

  1. VAN
    C. Garland(8)
    Q. Hughes (20), E. Pettersson (11)
    backhandxG 0.38win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:59

Penalties

VAN 10 PIM·BUF 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:29VANErik Brannstrom · Hookingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min

2nd

  • 5:14VANKiefer Sherwood · Trippingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min
  • 9:41BUFJiri Kulich · Roughingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min
  • 15:06VANVincent Desharnais · High stickingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 19:09BUFOwen Power · Interferencedrawn by Danton Heinen2 min

3rd

  • 1:05VANElias Pettersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min
  • 4:23BUFDylan Cozens · Holdingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 4:23BUFDylan Cozens · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 15:46VANTeddy Blueger · Interferencedrawn by Bowen Byram2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalVAN goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Conor Garland, OT 3:59 — VAN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.23J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.17J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.16J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.14T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.12B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.11J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.11A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.11J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.11B. Byram · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.08T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.07D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.07J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.06P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.03O. Power · Missed · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02O. Power · Missed · xG 0.01J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.01J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · Missed · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.00R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF3 G · 3.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsBUF
2.34 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.73 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.61 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN36%64%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsBUF
22
Shots on goal
34
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
15
19
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD022+220.23000—28:31
8C. GarlandR213-160.92110—23:37
57T. MyersD000+210.04240—22:45
40E. PetterssonC011-110.140125822:36
6B. BoeserR022+220.22000—21:02
74J. DeBruskL101010.27100—20:33
7C. SoucyD000000.00210—20:08
24P. SuterC112040.320104719:16
26E. BrannstromD000-200.00242—17:00
73V. DesharnaisD000-200.00112—15:51
47N. JuulsenD000-110.01020—15:12
53T. BluegerC000010.010222914:26
44K. SherwoodL000-110.04302—13:34
20D. HeinenL000+110.10100—12:46
81D. JoshuaC000-200.00300011:07
63M. SassonC000+100.01200009:32
54A. RätyC000010.004005008:26
21N. HoglanderL000000.00200—06:28
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(W)34313.9123.11+0.1163:06

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).