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Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared Spurgeon's goal at 17:33 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were CHI 23, MIN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Jared Spurgeon (2 G), 2. Marc-Andre Fleury (21 saves, .913), 3. Marco Rossi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Fleury21 saves, .913
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Rossi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1511008223
MINMIN0836015329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:23

2nd period

  1. CHI
    R. Donato(10)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:43
  2. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:22
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.31win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:39
  4. MIN
    wristxG 0.02win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:33

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

2nd

  • 4:52MINZach Bogosian · Holding the stickdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min
  • 12:17MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Wyatt Kaiser2 min

3rd

  • 2:27MINserved by M. Johansson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:38CHIRyan Donato · Interferencedrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 15:50CHIConnor Murphy · Trippingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCHI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Jared Spurgeon, 2nd 17:33 — MIN 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.31K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.22R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.21M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.13M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.07D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.06M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.02M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01B. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.2 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsMIN
1.92 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI45%55%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.87 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsMIN
23
Shots on goal
29
36%
Faceoffs
64%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
4
19
Giveaways
14
10
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD011-220.16110—22:59
98C. BedardC011-140.300102521:09
5C. MurphyD000-200.00232—21:01
25A. MartinezD000+100.07140—20:59
44W. KaiserD000+120.11140—20:18
71T. HallL000-220.03000—18:10
8R. DonatoC202+130.301023317:40
23P. KurashevC000-210.150005017:22
86T. TeravainenC000010.09010015:29
17N. FolignoL000010.19300—15:09
59T. BertuzziL011000.00000—14:53
46L. CrevierD000-110.03100—14:32
95I. MikheyevR000000.01000—14:20
16J. DickinsonC000-100.000204514:18
78T. BrodieD000-110.00000—14:04
15C. SmithC000030.31100012:19
77P. MaroonL000000.00300—11:51
73L. ReichelL000-120.120003310:56
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)29263.8972.16-0.8458:31

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).