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Flyers at Predators
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸3
Nashville Predators
2
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, NBCSP+·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Nashville Predators 3-2 in overtime, Sean Couturier scoring at 2:31. The Predators scored first; the Flyers answered. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 2:31 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 23, NSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Aleksei Kolosov stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Morgan Frost (1 G), 2. Sean Couturier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Roman Josi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    M. Frost1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI16071911323
NSHNSH210090602227

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(5)
    A. Carrier (5)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:17
  2. PHI
    S. Laughton(3)
    R. Poehling (7)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:46
  3. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(4)
    G. Nyquist (4), B. Skjei (7)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:18

3rd period

  1. PHI
    M. Frost(3)
    T. Sanheim (9), S. Couturier (7)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +44 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:48

Overtime

  1. PHI
    S. Couturier(6)
    T. Konecny (16), R. Ristolainen (5)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:31

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:28PHIRyan Poehling · Trippingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min
  • 5:28NSHLuke Evangelista · Embellishment2 min
  • 20:00NSHZachary L'Heureux · Cross checkingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 20:00PHITravis Sanheim · Roughingdrawn by Zachary L'Heureux2 min

2nd

  • 0:59PHIMatvei Michkov · Roughingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min

3rd

  • 17:37NSHserved by T. Novak · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalPHI goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, OT 2:31 — PHI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.38R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.20R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.18G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.17L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.15C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.15T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.11R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.11T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.11R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.10B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.07B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.06L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.06R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.05F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.03N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.02F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02Z. L'Heureux · Missed · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.00C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.00A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.00N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.00N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.00B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 3.2 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNSH
2.03 G
All situations
2 G3.2
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI35%65%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNSH
23
Shots on goal
27
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
23
32
Blocked shots
11
37
Giveaways
29
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD011010.12232—26:23
8C. YorkD000000.02010—22:46
55R. RistolainenD011+110.04380—21:27
11T. KonecnyR011+230.12200—21:05
36E. AndraeD000-120.04230—21:03
39M. MichkovR000010.36002—19:20
14S. CouturierC112+220.210005619:15
48M. FrostC101030.220004517:50
74O. TippettR000+130.08110—17:48
86J. FarabeeL000040.33210—16:31
24N. SeelerD000000.00240—14:54
3H. GransD000000.00110—13:58
10B. BrinkR000000.00120—13:18
71T. FoersterR000010.04010—12:35
25R. PoehlingC011000.001223612:31
27N. CatesL000000.111202011:52
19G. HathawayR000010.26720—11:41
21S. LaughtonC101010.02010009:43
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Kolosov(W)27252.9262.82+0.8260:04

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).