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Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings

Final/OTTV FDSNDETX, SN360·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Calgary Flames 2-1 in overtime, Lucas Raymond scoring at 3:35. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lucas Raymond's goal at 3:35 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were CGY 25, DET 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lucas Raymond (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Zary (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    L. Raymond1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    C. Zary1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY070511201125
DETDET180100811227

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.15win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:33

3rd period

  1. CGY
    C. Zary(5)PPG
    snapxG 0.06win prob +40 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:12

Overtime

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.11win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:35

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:01CGYMatt Coronato · Trippingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 7:08CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Interferencedrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min
  • 9:59CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 10:26DETDylan Larkin · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min

2nd

  • 15:30DETBen Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min

3rd

  • 7:03DETMoritz Seider · Trippingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
  • 15:20DETDylan Larkin · Delaying game face off violation2 min

OT

  • 3:06CGYserved by C. Zary · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCGY goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Lucas Raymond, OT 3:35 — DET 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.26M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.20D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.18M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.15C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.11L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.11M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.10D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.07L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.04A. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.03A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.02T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01A. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.00S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsDET
1.81 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.00 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.71 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY37%63%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsDET
25
Shots on goal
27
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
17
14
Blocked shots
18
12
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000010.08030—25:47
52M. WeegarD011000.04070—24:17
7K. BahlD000020.10110—23:14
91N. KadriC000050.290004120:57
17Y. SharangovichC011020.3200010019:24
11M. BacklundC000010.040005018:40
76M. PospisilC000020.11100018:39
62D. MiromanovD000020.06100—18:15
10J. HuberdeauL000000.14104—18:14
27M. CoronatoR000010.04002—18:05
47C. ZaryC101020.072003117:11
20B. ColemanL000010.1111010015:48
94B. PachalD000000.00100—15:28
96A. KuzmenkoL000020.38110—15:25
44J. HanleyD000010.01010—11:56
21K. RooneyC000020.012004309:14
58J. KirklandC000000.00000007:56
70R. LombergL000010.00000—07:53
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(O)27252.9262.50+0.5063:35

Season series

DET leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).