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Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV FDSNW, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Los Angeles Kings 7-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Macklin Celebrini's goal at 1:03 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 52% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were LAK 24, SJS 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. David Rittich stopped 14 of 21 (.667), 5.5 goals below expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Macklin Celebrini (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mario Ferraro (1 A), 3. Will Smith (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Ferraro1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    W. Smith2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0621305224
SJSSJS1615510721

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:47

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe (10), A. Kopitar (19)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:32
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:58
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:59

3rd period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.02win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:03
  2. SJS
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    2:14
  3. SJS
    slapxG 0.08win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-5
    3:43
  4. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.12Video
    2-6
    10:46
  5. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08Video
    2-7
    18:39

Penalties

LAK 12 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:41LAKAdrian Kempe · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 19:47LAKKevin Fiala · Roughingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min

2nd

  • 4:45SJSBarclay Goodrow · Slashingdrawn by Alex Turcotte2 min
  • 15:58SJSMacklin Celebrini · Interferencedrawn by Akil Thomas2 min

3rd

  • 2:14LAKserved by Akil Thomas · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 2:34LAKWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 10:42LAKKevin Fiala · High sticking double minordrawn by Fabian Zetterlund4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalLAK goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Macklin Celebrini, 3rd 1:03 — SJS 52% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.14N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.14A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.12F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.09F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.08L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.08L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.07J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.07J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.05C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.05N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.04M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · Goal · xG 0.03N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.00L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS7 G · 1.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsSJS
2.42 G
All situations
7 G1.6
2.02 G
Even strength
5 G1.0
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK62%38%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 1.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsSJS
24
Shots on goal
21
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
20
6
Blocked shots
16
20
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
84V. GavrikovD000-310.04020—27:19
44M. AndersonD000-210.03110—26:45
11A. KopitarC112+210.321005018:38
6J. EdmundsonD000030.12110—17:54
12T. MooreL000-300.08000—17:10
24P. DanaultC000-320.060006417:05
9A. KempeR022+240.65102—17:03
22K. FialaL000-300.000065016:43
21J. SpenceD000010.02200—15:32
92B. ClarkeD101+130.14000—15:31
55Q. ByfieldR000-210.321004214:53
37W. FoegeleL011040.25102—13:18
15A. TurcotteC000000.00000013:03
14A. LaferriereR000-100.09000—12:53
10T. JeannotL000010.23400—12:36
61T. LewisC000010.023108612:00
43J. MoverareD000-210.03110—11:32
26A. ThomasC000-100.00200010:32
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31D. Rittich(L)21147.6671.55-5.4560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).