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Nashville Predators at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Nashville Predators 5-2. The Predators scored first; the Devils answered. The Devils led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nico Hischier's goal at 3:52 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were NSH 22, NJD 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.1 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (3 G), 2. Erik Haula (1 G), 3. Johnathan Kovacevic (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier3 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    E. Haula1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Kovacevic2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH1901013222
NJDNJD111319116546

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:08
  2. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:29

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:52
  2. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:01
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.19win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:57

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi (13)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-4
    7:39
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.58win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    17:25

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·NJD 23 PIM

1st

  • 0:53NSHAlexandre Carrier · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 17:25NJDErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min

2nd

  • 0:03NJDTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 9:23NSHserved by T. Novak · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:08NJDLuke Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min

3rd

  • 1:22NJDErik Haula · Holdingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 12:17NJDTimo Meier · Cross checkingdrawn by Zachary L'Heureux5 min
  • 12:17NJDTimo Meier · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNSH goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Nico Hischier, 2nd 3:52 — NJD 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Dowling · Goal · xG 0.59S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.44P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.29L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.22N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.19N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.18O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.15S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.13N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.13T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.11E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.11D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.11O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.11J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.08S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.08P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.07E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.07E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.05O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bowers · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.00S. Bowers · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.00E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD5 G · 4.4 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsNJD
2.02 G
All situations
4 G4.4
0.72 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
1.30 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH21%79%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 3.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsNJD
22
Shots on goal
46
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/5
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
23
30
Hits
32
11
Blocked shots
18
20
Giveaways
19
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011030.15120—27:58
76B. SkjeiD000-140.13100—23:44
90R. O'ReillyC000-200.140105221:32
9F. ForsbergL101-130.36000—21:21
91S. StamkosC000-120.481005019:44
81J. MarchessaultR000-120.102005019:13
14G. NyquistR000-320.1901010018:16
45A. CarrierD000010.07102—17:43
82T. NovakC000-130.190001416:45
2L. SchennD000-100.00810—15:33
17M. JankowskiL000-110.060005014:42
13J. ParssinenC000-100.00200013:22
7M. Del GaizoD000-100.00210—12:52
36C. SmithR000+100.0012010012:39
40F. SvechkovC000000.002102512:11
10C. SissonsC000+100.00010911:10
68Z. L'HeureuxL101+110.12500—10:47
3J. LauzonD000000.00410—09:11
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)30264.8672.91-1.0939:53
41S. Wedgewood151501.0000.91+0.9118:56

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).