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Utah Hockey Club at Maple Leafs
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, Utah16·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2. The Utah Hockey Club scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mitch Marner's goal at 5:15 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 36% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were UTA 26, TOR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Joseph Woll stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (2 G), 2. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A), 3. Logan Cooley (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Marner2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    L. Cooley1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA1130617226
TORTOR01031609335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    L. Cooley(4)PPG
    D. Guenther (9), M. Sergachev (9)
    tip-inxG 0.43win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:48

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Marner(7)
    J. Tavares (11), C. Tanev (4)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:15
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(8)PPG
    F. Minten (1), W. Nylander (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:34
  3. TOR
    W. Nylander(14)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:50

3rd period

  1. UTA
    J. McBain(7)
    L. Cooley (12), M. Kesselring (8)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:51

Penalties

UTA 12 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:02UTAMaveric Lamoureux · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min
  • 11:30UTADylan Guenther · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 17:18TORJake McCabe · Interferencedrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min

2nd

  • 6:10UTAMaveric Lamoureux · Interferencedrawn by Nick Robertson2 min
  • 9:10UTAMikhail Sergachev · Trippingdrawn by Alex Steeves2 min
  • 12:41UTAserved by C. Keller · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:17UTAJack McBain · Hookingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 16:44TORSimon Benoit · Holdingdrawn by Olli Maatta2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalUTA goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Mitch Marner, 2nd 5:15 — TOR 36% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.37J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.23B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.22W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.22W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.18F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.17J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.16F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.16M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.15B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.14F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.13B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.13C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.12W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.10N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09A. Steeves · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.08A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.08O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.08C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.06A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.03N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.03B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.03A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.02S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.02C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.02J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.02P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.02B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 4.4 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsTOR
2.32 G
All situations
3 G4.4
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.91 G
Power play
1 G2.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA20%80%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 4.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsTOR
26
Shots on goal
35
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
34
13
Blocked shots
10
18
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011010.04012—24:10
28I. ColeD000-210.03060—22:32
2O. MaattaD000-100.02210—20:57
7M. KesselringD011+140.10110—20:25
92L. CooleyC112030.843004018:11
8N. SchmaltzC000-100.080002518:08
9C. KellerR000-110.09000—17:11
11D. GuentherR011020.28202—16:02
10M. LamoureuxD000-110.02104—16:01
82K. StenlundC000010.041005814:34
22J. McBainC101010.1750210013:58
63M. MaccelliL000000.02010—13:52
67L. CrouseL000010.08210—13:46
15A. KerfootC000030.160003813:41
17N. BjugstadC000020.162105712:52
27B. HaytonC000-100.042102712:39
52V. KolyachonokD000+120.02000—12:25
53M. CarconeL000030.11000—09:51
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)35323.9144.41+1.4158:24

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).