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Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NHLN, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladislav Namestnikov's goal at 4:53 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were WPG 30, PIT 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A), 2. Gabriel Vilardi (1 G), 3. Vladislav Namestnikov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    G. Vilardi1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    V. Namestnikov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11221315430
PITPIT080515118

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.43win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:22

2nd period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:53
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-0
    19:01

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust (3), E. Malkin (15)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:49
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(13)EN
    wristxG 0.91win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    18:49

Penalties

WPG 11 PIM·PIT 11 PIM

1st

  • 10:44WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 16:47PITJesse Puljujarvi · Holdingdrawn by Rasmus Kupari2 min

2nd

  • 18:45PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

3rd

  • 0:38PITSidney Crosby · Cross checkingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 0:38PITSidney Crosby · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Connor5 min
  • 0:38WPGKyle Connor · Fightingdrawn by Sidney Crosby5 min
  • 4:29WPGAlex Iafallo · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min
  • 10:19WPGCole Perfetti · Interferencedrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalWPG goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Vladislav Namestnikov, 2nd 4:53 — WPG 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.21M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.17E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.16E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.13R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.13S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.11J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.05D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.05D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.04J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.02S. Poulin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01S. Poulin · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.01V. Ponomarev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT1 G · 1.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsPIT
4.43 G
All situations
1 G1.8
2.52 G
Even strength
0 G0.8
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG71%29%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsPIT
30
Shots on goal
18
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
11
Hits
29
14
Blocked shots
14
18
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. DeMeloD000+220.01100—24:28
44J. MorrisseyD011040.12010—23:01
54D. SambergD000+210.22130—21:22
4N. PionkD000+220.03120—20:35
55M. ScheifeleC011+110.361105018:53
81K. ConnorL112+131.18005—17:33
91C. PerfettiC011+230.78022017:19
13G. VilardiC101010.260107516:37
7V. NamestnikovC101+130.211021116:06
27N. EhlersL011+120.200003315:16
6C. MillerD000000.00000—14:06
17A. LowryC000+110.002204713:56
62N. NiederreiterR101+120.500005013:41
22M. AppletonC000+100.01100013:37
24H. FleuryD000010.02000—13:21
9A. IafalloL000020.18002—12:04
36M. BarronC000010.122205011:47
15R. KupariC000010.171007810:58
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)18171.9441.82+0.8260:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).