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Wild at Oilers
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸5
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV FDSNNOX, FDSNWI·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Wild led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 9:10 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were MIN 26, EDM 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.9 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Frederick Gaudreau (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Hartman (2 A), 3. Marcus Foligno (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    F. Gaudreau2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Hartman2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1931017526
EDMEDM17113111331

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(15)
    C. McDavid (16)
    wristxG 0.00win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:27
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(11)
    K. Kaprizov (21), J. Brodin (6)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:56

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Foligno(4)
    D. Chisholm (5), F. Gaudreau (8)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:09
  2. EDM
    C. Perry(4)
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:03
  3. MIN
    M. Johansson(2)
    R. Hartman (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:10
  4. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(3)
    R. Hartman (3)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:02

3rd period

  1. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(4)
    J. Middleton (8), M. Foligno (3)
    snapxG 0.43win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-2
    9:50
  2. EDM
    J. Skinner(4)
    C. Perry (2), A. Henrique (3)
    wristxG 0.32Video
    5-3
    19:35

Penalties

MIN 9 PIM·EDM 7 PIM

1st

  • 16:57EDMVasily Podkolzin · Trippingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min

2nd

  • 15:37MINMatt Boldy · Fightingdrawn by Drake Caggiula5 min
  • 15:37EDMDrake Caggiula · Fightingdrawn by Matt Boldy5 min

3rd

  • 4:19MINRyan Hartman · Holdingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 10:44MINMarat Khusnutdinov · Hookingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMIN goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Marcus Johansson, 2nd 9:10 — MIN 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.32C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.17C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.10A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.07C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.04T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03T. Emberson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.02T. Emberson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.00L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 2.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsEDM
3.35 G
All situations
3 G2.1
3.25 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN70%30%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsEDM
26
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
7
25
Hits
18
26
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD011+100.00150—23:37
14J. Eriksson EkC000-130.082204723:11
97K. KaprizovL011-110.14110—22:51
46J. SpurgeonD000+110.15220—22:21
7B. FaberD000000.02020—22:10
5J. MiddletonD011040.12220—21:50
90M. JohanssonL101030.18100—18:29
12M. BoldyL101020.56015—16:02
38R. HartmanR022+130.091123315:57
23M. RossiC000010.053104415:05
47D. ChisholmD011+120.03020—15:03
13Y. TreninC000+200.12410014:34
89F. GaudreauC213+230.890005014:12
24Z. BogosianD000+100.00020—13:58
17M. FolignoL112+320.76010—13:20
94J. LaukoC000010.03600009:09
22M. KhusnutdinovC000000.002123807:47
19D. ShoreC000000.04020006:37
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)31283.9032.14-0.8659:47

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).