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New York Islanders at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV MSGSN2, MSGSN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-2. The Canucks scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre Engvall's goal at 2:10 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYI 32, VAN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Kevin Lankinen stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (1 G, 1 A), 2. Pierre Engvall (1 G), 3. Jonathan Lekkerimäki (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    P. Engvall1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Lekkerimäki1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1921528532
VANVAN1303120226

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:40
  2. NYI
    J. Pageau(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:23

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:14
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.23win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    2:10

3rd period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.23win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-1
    11:42
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.53Video
    5-1
    17:54
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.09Video
    5-2
    18:34

Penalties

NYI 7 PIM·VAN 15 PIM

1st

  • 6:41VANJonathan Lekkerimäki · Holdingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 16:33VANCarson Soucy · Trippingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

2nd

  • 9:49VANTeddy Blueger · Holdingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 14:03NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais5 min
  • 14:03VANVincent Desharnais · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min
  • 19:03VANserved by N. Hoglander · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 12:26VANDakota Joshua · Trippingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 15:06NYIScott Mayfield · Cross checkingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalNYI goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Pierre Engvall, 2nd 2:10 — NYI 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.15J. Lekkerimäki · On goal · xG 0.14E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.10J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09T. Myers · Goal · xG 0.09A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lekkerimäki · Goal · xG 0.03E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lekkerimäki · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.00F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 1.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsVAN
3.74 G
All situations
2 G1.7
2.33 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI69%31%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsVAN
32
Shots on goal
26
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/5
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
15
14
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD101020.54020—23:41
6R. PulockD000030.10040—23:31
24S. MayfieldD101020.02212—21:26
21K. PalmieriC011+220.030105020:26
29B. NelsonC000+120.540005418:46
27A. LeeL112+130.39100—18:13
44J. PageauC101+120.231007518:03
10S. HolmstromR011+120.32000—17:59
14B. HorvatC022+120.630006417:53
7M. TsyplakovR000000.07210—16:47
25D. CholowskiD000+100.00010—15:29
18P. EngvallL101+160.7200010015:25
36I. GeorgeD000010.03020—14:42
53C. CizikasC000+220.013106414:35
34G. HuttonD022+300.00100—13:26
26O. WahlstromR011-230.12100—13:00
32K. MacLeanC000-100.000204408:09
17M. MartinL000-100.00315—06:40
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)26242.9231.72-0.2859:49

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).