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Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-2. The Kings scored first; the Avalanche answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 10:01 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were LAK 15, COL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Alexandar Georgiev stopped 13 of 15 (.867). Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (3 G, 1 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (3 A), 3. Adrian Kempe (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon3 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK290006215
COLCOL1511328426

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.44win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:32
  2. COL
    snapxG 0.29win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:40
  3. LAK
    snapxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:51

2nd period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:07

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:01
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.55win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:01

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:36LAKJoel Edmundson · Trippingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 7:28LAKPhillip Danault · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 9:23COLNikolai Kovalenko · Interferencedrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min

2nd

  • 8:52LAKKevin Fiala · Elbowingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 3rd 10:01 — COL 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.55C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.30A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.30N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.20M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.18N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.18C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.15A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.15L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.10C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.09C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.06S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.05D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kovalenko · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Prishchepov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Ivan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Prishchepov · Missed · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.01
COL4 G · 3.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
1.52 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 63 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK27%73%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
15
Shots on goal
26
67%
Faceoffs
33%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
84V. GavrikovD000010.02010—25:52
44M. AndersonD000000.00350—24:08
6J. EdmundsonD000+110.02212—22:05
92B. ClarkeD000010.08000—20:12
11A. KopitarC022010.070007719:29
9A. KempeR202040.73110—19:11
12T. MooreL022000.07110—18:52
24P. DanaultC000-100.091126418:11
22K. FialaL000-110.14222—18:00
21J. SpenceD000-310.02010—17:59
14A. LaferriereR000-310.08200—15:46
37W. FoegeleL000-110.01210—15:37
55Q. ByfieldR000-110.011005013:46
26A. ThomasC000000.00110011:09
47A. LeeL000-120.19320—10:43
61T. LewisC000000.0011010009:42
79S. HeleniusC000000.0020010008:09
82C. JonesD000-100.00200—05:56
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper20182.9002.17+0.1744:32
31D. Rittich(L)541.8000.62-0.3814:41

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).