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Hurricanes at Utah Hockey Club
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
1
Utah Mammoth
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSO, Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Utah Hockey Club scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack McBain's goal at 5:09 of the third period, which took the Utah Hockey Club's chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 5.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 50, UTA 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 90% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 49 of 50 (.980), 4.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (49 saves, .980), 2. Nick Bjugstad (2 G), 3. Michael Kesselring (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka49 saves, .980
  2. ★★
    UTA
    N. Bjugstad2 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    M. Kesselring2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR015117018150
UTAUTA180538421

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    N. Bjugstad(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:55

2nd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(9)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (6), S. Aho (11)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:04

3rd period

  1. UTA
    J. McBain(4)
    M. Kesselring (5)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +27 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:09
  2. UTA
    M. Sergachev(3)
    D. Guenther (6), M. Maccelli (5)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:11
  3. UTA
    N. Bjugstad(2)
    M. Kesselring (6), C. Keller (8)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    7:28

Penalties

CAR 2 PIM·UTA 25 PIM

1st

  • 13:42CARSebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min

2nd

  • 9:13UTAIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 11:42UTAIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

3rd

  • 8:03UTAMichael Carcone · Instigatordrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 8:03UTAMichael Carcone · Fightingdrawn by Jack Drury5 min
  • 8:03UTAMichael Carcone · Aggressor10 min
  • 14:29UTAMaveric Lamoureux · Hookingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 17:07UTANick Bjugstad · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalCAR goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Jack McBain, 3rd 5:09 — UTA 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.27I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.23J. McBain · Goal · xG 0.20N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.18N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.14M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.14M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.12C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.07L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.06L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · Goal · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.05L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.05J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.03K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.03L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.03M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.00N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA4 G · 2.1 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsUTA
5.51 G
All situations
4 G2.1
2.80 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
2.61 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR90%10%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.42 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsUTA
50
Shots on goal
21
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/6
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
25
12
Hits
11
14
Blocked shots
26
19
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88M. NecasC101-440.38100022:31
20S. AhoC011-120.310126221:58
4S. GostisbehereD011-110.09210—21:32
37A. SvechnikovR000071.18200—21:00
8B. BurnsD000-110.26000—19:38
7D. OrlovD000-220.04030—19:18
53J. BlakeR000070.79100—17:57
74J. SlavinD000-130.04010—17:53
5J. ChatfieldD000-210.05040—17:21
82J. KotkaniemiC000-340.371005715:29
11J. StaalC000030.400005615:18
48J. MartinookL000020.1902010014:40
26S. WalkerD000-120.03100—14:28
96J. RoslovicC000050.410108014:05
18J. DruryC000040.381006413:42
28W. CarrierL000000.15210—12:50
50E. RobinsonL000-410.32000—12:17
27T. JostC000010.091005008:23
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(L)18153.8331.60-1.4046:45
41S. Martin321.6670.53-0.4710:55

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).