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Blue Jackets at Ducks
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV FDSNOH, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jackson LaCombe's goal at 4:22 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.9 to 2.9; shots on goal were CBJ 40, ANA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 26 of 29 (.897); John Gibson stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jackson LaCombe (1 G), 2. Trevor Zegras, 3. John Gibson (38 saves, .950).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. LaCombe1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Zegras
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson38 saves, .950

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ113011116240
ANAANA1917214430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:13
  2. CBJ
    slapxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:16

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:22

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:20
  2. CBJ
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.17win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:57
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.94win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:20

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:22CBJJustin Danforth · Slashingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 15:47ANAAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

2nd

  • 12:50ANATrevor Zegras · Cross checkingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min

3rd

  • 13:15CBJMathieu Olivier · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by John Gibson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCBJ goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Jackson LaCombe, 2nd 4:22 — ANA 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Lundeström · Goal · xG 0.94F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.22J. LaCombe · Goal · xG 0.18F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.17L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.17T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.17F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.15R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.15B. Leason · Goal · xG 0.14T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.13R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.13I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.12T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.11C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.10T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.09T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.09I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.08C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.07O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.06O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.06C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.06O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.04P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.04O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.03T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.03P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.01
ANA4 G · 3.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsANA
2.92 G
All situations
3 G3.9
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ49%51%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsANA
40
Shots on goal
30
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
21
8
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD011-180.53030—27:57
78D. SeversonD000+110.12010—24:42
19A. FantilliC000000.0711010021:39
9I. ProvorovD000-110.02000—21:22
86K. MarchenkoR112050.37200—21:07
4C. SillingerC000-140.421207020:27
59E. ChinakhovR101-170.43400—19:45
23S. MonahanC000-100.000004819:07
10D. VoronkovL000-210.13210—16:13
2J. ChristiansenD000-200.00010—15:49
3J. JohnsonD000-120.03010—14:01
17J. DanforthR000-120.012226313:10
22J. HarrisD000-120.04100—12:18
24M. OlivierR000-110.15112—12:13
82M. PyyhtiaL000-110.13030—11:54
21J. van RiemsdykL000-110.16000—09:33
7S. KuralyC000-130.162006708:22
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000-110.14200—08:14
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(L)29263.8973.000.0058:07

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).