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Golden Knights at Oilers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SCRIPPS, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Hanifin's goal at 19:11 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were VGK 35, EDM 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Stuart Skinner stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Noah Hanifin (2 G), 2. Jack Eichel (1 G, 2 A), 3. Brett Kulak (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    N. Hanifin2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    B. Kulak1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK19012314435
EDMEDM01021306229

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.29win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:05

2nd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:18
  2. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:56

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:05
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.16win prob +47 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:11
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.81win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:55

Penalties

VGK 2 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:23VGKTanner Pearson · High stickingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

2nd

  • 13:10EDMTroy Stecher · Hookingdrawn by Cole Schwindt2 min

3rd

  • 8:32EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Holdingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVGK goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Noah Hanifin, 3rd 19:11 — VGK 49% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.37L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.16A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.14J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.11V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06B. Kulak · Goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.00D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.00D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 2.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsEDM
3.83 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK57%43%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsEDM
35
Shots on goal
29
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
29
14
Blocked shots
8
3
Giveaways
9
1
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15N. HanifinD202+130.23010—23:32
7A. PietrangeloD000+140.44020—23:31
27S. TheodoreD011+110.03110—22:08
3B. McNabbD000010.01130—20:23
9J. EichelC123+330.420004220:01
61M. StoneR101+320.88010—19:19
71W. KarlssonC011-110.181106316:40
49I. BarbashevL033+310.07110—15:55
48T. HertlC000-120.240006215:08
26A. HoltzR011-150.57100—14:41
10N. RoyC000010.171004714:28
21B. HowdenC000-110.00200014:12
16P. DorofeyevR000-120.18120—14:11
2Z. WhitecloudD000-110.01100—13:36
17B. HuttonD000010.02010—13:18
70T. PearsonL000-110.07012—13:16
55K. KolesarR000040.11600—12:38
22C. SchwindtR000010.19000—11:03
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)29272.9312.24+0.2460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).