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Hurricanes at Canucks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks

Final/OTTV FDSNSO, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Sebastian Aho scoring at 0:47. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 0:47 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CAR 3.1, VAN 3.0; shots on goal were CAR 32, VAN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Kevin Lankinen stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Quinn Hughes (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G), 3. Kevin Lankinen (28 saves, .875).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    K. Lankinen28 saves, .875

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR2131100811432
VANVAN1501221000327

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:40
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:17
  3. CAR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:33

2nd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:53

3rd period

  1. VAN
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:56
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.03win prob +41 ptsVideo
    3-3
    16:55

Overtime

  1. CAR
    backhandxG 0.51win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:47

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:29VANJ.T. Miller · Holding the stickdrawn by Brent Burns2 min

2nd

  • 4:49CARAndrei Svechnikov · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 8:06VANTyler Myers · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 9:25VANPius Suter · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 17:23CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Cross checkingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

3rd

  • 8:47CARShayne Gostisbehere · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCAR goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, OT 0:47 — CAR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.48E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.23B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.21B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.21B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.17E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.16J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.14P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.13Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.11B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.11P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.10A. Bains · Missed · xG 0.10Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.06P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.05T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.04D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01A. Bains · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.00C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.00D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 3.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsVAN
3.14 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.34 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR51%49%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsVAN
32
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
8
13
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD011-120.03010—22:44
74J. SlavinD000-110.01040—22:36
20S. AhoC101+120.682106719:46
24S. JarvisR000-150.65200—18:28
26S. WalkerD000+110.01040—18:04
4S. GostisbehereD011+220.16302—17:57
37A. SvechnikovR011020.25402—17:39
88M. NecasC112+110.18000017:18
7D. OrlovD000010.03100—17:11
5J. ChatfieldD000040.06100—16:47
82J. KotkaniemiC011020.091126016:09
11J. StaalC000-100.003004815:54
48J. MartinookL000-100.00010—15:09
96J. RoslovicC101030.43000015:02
18J. DruryC011+120.111003812:25
50E. RobinsonL011010.1110010012:25
53J. BlakeR011+110.17000—11:24
28W. CarrierL101+120.0940010009:28
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)27243.8892.99-0.0160:42

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).