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Blackhawks at Avalanche
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV CHSN, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Donato's goal at 16:56 of the first period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were CHI 26, COL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Alexandar Georgiev stopped 21 of 24 (.875). Three stars: 1. Ryan Donato (2 G, 1 A), 2. Lukas Reichel (1 G), 3. Casey Mittelstadt (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    R. Donato2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    L. Reichel1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Mittelstadt1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI3120529526
COLCOL2701009226

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    slapxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:47
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:16
  3. CHI
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:04
  4. CHI
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:56
  5. COL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:17

3rd period

  1. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.49win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:02
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.58Video
    5-2
    19:41

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:31COLCalvin de Haan · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:59COLSamuel Girard · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 17:46CHITyler Bertuzzi · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alexandar Georgiev2 min
  • 18:46CHIWyatt Kaiser · High stickingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 13:00CHIWyatt Kaiser · Holdingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 17:03CHIConnor Murphy · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 15:54COLMiles Wood · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Petr Mrazek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCHI goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Donato, 1st 16:56 — CHI 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.18P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.13C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.12R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.11S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.10C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.10C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.09R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.09M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.09D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.08L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kovalenko · On goal · xG 0.08M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07I. Ivan · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.06S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kovalenko · Missed · xG 0.05S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.04C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 2.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCOL
3.73 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI55%45%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCOL
26
Shots on goal
26
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000+200.00220—25:39
72A. VlasicD011+320.03040—24:20
5C. MurphyD011+210.05212—22:00
23P. KurashevC101040.74010018:01
16J. DickinsonC022+310.080004517:32
98C. BedardC000020.17000017:16
95I. MikheyevR101+310.58000—16:42
86T. TeravainenC000000.02010016:36
44W. KaiserD000010.06204—15:28
17N. FolignoL000-100.002106914:47
78T. BrodieD000-100.00010—14:28
71T. HallL000-120.1111010014:11
59T. BertuzziL000-120.21012—13:46
15C. SmithC011+120.06110013:34
42N. AllanD000000.05020—13:22
8R. DonatoC213+340.96300011:59
73L. ReichelL101+110.151103311:44
77P. MaroonL000+130.4110010011:04
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(W)26242.9232.38+0.3860:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).