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Wild at Flyers
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
5
Philadelphia Flyers
▸7
FinalTV FDSNNO, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Minnesota Wild 7-5. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Ristolainen's goal at 17:36 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were MIN 26, PHI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 16 of 22 (.727), 3.4 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Couturier (3 G, 2 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (2 A), 3. Travis Konecny (1 G, 4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Couturier3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G, 4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0731425526
PHIPHI2313417723

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    S. Couturier(1)
    R. Ristolainen (1), T. Konecny (2)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:18
  2. PHI
    N. Seeler(1)
    T. Konecny (3), M. Michkov (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:51

2nd period

  1. MIN
    B. Faber(1)
    K. Kaprizov (10), J. Eriksson Ek (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:54
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(1)
    D. Chisholm (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:27
  3. PHI
    M. Michkov(4)
    S. Couturier (2), O. Tippett (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:16
  4. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(4)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (11), M. Boldy (7)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:56

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Foligno(2)
    Z. Bogosian (2), J. Brodin (5)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +26 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:18
  2. PHI
    T. Konecny(4)PPG
    M. Frost (4), O. Tippett (4)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +20 ptsVideo
    4-4
    4:55
  3. PHI
    S. Couturier(2)
    T. Konecny (4), N. Seeler (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +30 ptsVideo
    4-5
    8:26
  4. MIN
    J. Middleton(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +35 ptsVideo
    5-5
    13:28
  5. PHI
    R. Ristolainen(1)
    S. Couturier (3), T. Konecny (5)
    backhandxG 0.38win prob +43 ptsVideo
    5-6
    17:36
  6. PHI
    S. Couturier(3)EN
    N. Cates (1), T. Sanheim (1)
    wristxG 0.83win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-7
    19:00

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 14:55PHIJoel Farabee · High stickingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min

2nd

  • 0:25PHIScott Laughton · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 2:00PHIGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 19:09PHIserved by J. Farabee · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 4:15MINMarco Rossi · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 17:57PHIGarnet Hathaway · Hookingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 17:57MINMats Zuccarello · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 19:31MINMatt Boldy · Slashingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalMIN goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Ristolainen, 3rd 17:36 — PHI 52% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.83R. Ristolainen · Goal · xG 0.38S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.28T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.23S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.21T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.16J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.15J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.09S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.07M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.07N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.07T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05N. Seeler · Goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.04T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.04M. Michkov · Goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.03E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.03M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.03S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI7 G · 3.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsPHI
3.05 G
All situations
6 G3.5
1.44 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
1.61 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN56%44%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsPHI
26
Shots on goal
23
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
9
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
22
16
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD101+120.19100—26:48
97K. KaprizovL022030.81100—24:36
12M. BoldyL011-390.4623210022:58
14J. Eriksson EkC112-130.520005521:09
25J. BrodinD011-320.10010—20:45
36M. ZuccarelloR000010.19002—19:41
5J. MiddletonD101+220.02000—19:37
23M. RossiC000-200.070023318:00
24Z. BogosianD011-300.05020—17:50
90M. JohanssonL000-200.00100—17:26
89F. GaudreauC000+210.180005614:59
47D. ChisholmD011000.00000—14:15
4J. MerrillD000000.00010—12:50
17M. FolignoL202+230.19320—12:34
13Y. TreninC000+200.00100012:10
22M. KhusnutdinovC000-200.110204308:25
94J. LaukoC000-200.00010007:46
28L. OhgrenL000-100.09000—06:46
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)22166.7272.64-3.3658:16

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).