New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 4-3 in overtime, Bo Horvat scoring at 1:09. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 1:09 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 30, NJD 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (1 G), 2. Jesper Bratt (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ilya Sorokin (33 saves, .917).
Three stars
- ★B. Horvat1 G

- ★★J. Bratt1 G, 1 A

- ★★★I. Sorokin33 saves, .917

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-01:23
1-111:36
2-114:03
2nd period
2-25:31
3-211:28
3rd period
3-318:31
Overtime
4-31:09
Penalties
1st
- 4:16
Jonas Siegenthaler · Trippingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min
- 12:05
Brenden Dillon · Slashingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
2nd
- 2:55
Scott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid2 min
- 2:55
Scott Mayfield · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
- 2:55
Kurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Scott Mayfield5 min
- 16:10
Jesper Bratt · Interferencedrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
- 18:56
Ryan Pulock · Trippingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
3rd
- 8:59
Dougie Hamilton · Hookingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Bo Horvat, OT 1:09 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.24 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.6
- 1.33 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.6
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.0
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 3.49
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 63%
- Faceoffs
- 38%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 32
- Hits
- 27
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 8
- Giveaways
- 17
- 4
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 2-1
4@
3OTthis game
4@
3OTFinal
1@
0Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
