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Senators at Utah Hockey Club
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV Utah16, TSN5·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Utah Mammoth 4-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Claude Giroux's goal at 13:06 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 59% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Utah Hockey Club, 3.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were OTT 22, UTA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Utah Hockey Club win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 3.9 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 14 of 14 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Forsberg (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Drake Batherson (1 G), 3. Claude Giroux (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. Forsberg31 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Giroux1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT480509422
UTAUTA01001407031

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    slapxG 0.04win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:43
  2. OTT
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:06
  3. OTT
    R. Greig(1)PPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    18:05
  4. OTT
    snapxG 0.27win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-0
    19:52

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·UTA 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:22OTTNoah Gregor · Roughingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 11:22UTAJack McBain · Roughingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
  • 17:50UTARobert Bortuzzo · Holdingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

2nd

  • 9:27OTTRidly Greig · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 14:33OTTShane Pinto · Cross checkingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 14:33UTADylan Guenther · Cross checkingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

3rd

  • 6:42OTTThomas Chabot · Cross checkingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalOTT goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Claude Giroux, 1st 13:06 — OTT 59% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.36J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.31R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.20N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.20B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.19J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.15J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.14L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.14C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.14L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.13J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.11N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.11A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.10K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.10D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.09J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.09B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.09K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.08M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.07D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.07J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.06D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.05L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.05J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.04M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.04V. Kolyachonok · Missed · xG 0.04M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.03M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02V. Kolyachonok · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01V. Kolyachonok · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01V. Kolyachonok · Missed · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA0 G · 3.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsUTA
2.54 G
All situations
0 G3.9
2.33 G
Even strength
0 G3.1
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT28%72%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 3.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsUTA
22
Shots on goal
31
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/1
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
6
38
Hits
29
16
Blocked shots
12
16
Giveaways
17
9
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000010.04020—23:44
72T. ChabotD011+320.10112—22:07
23T. HamonicD000010.02330—22:01
3N. JensenD022+300.11210—20:28
12S. PintoC000+200.002123117:22
18T. StützleC011+110.13300016:55
28C. GirouxR101+120.302005516:54
43T. KlevenD000010.06130—15:53
24J. Bernard-DockerD000000.00210—15:36
73N. GregorL000010.03202—15:32
9J. NorrisC011+110.074203315:27
7B. TkachukL101+120.295105715:11
19D. BathersonR101+120.1230010015:04
22M. AmadioR000010.640004015:01
71R. GreigC101020.291023314:52
21N. CousinsC000040.26110010:46
81A. GaudetteR000000.003003310:02
17Z. MacEwenR000010.083005009:05
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(W)313101.0003.87+3.8760:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).