Red Wings at Islanders 1-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Detroit Red Wings

▸1

New York Islanders

FinalTV FDSNDET, MSGSN2·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New York Islanders 1-0. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Kane's goal at 8:54 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 46% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.6 to 0.9; shots on goal were DET 11, NYI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 10 of 11 (.909). Three stars: 1. Alex Lyon (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Patrick Kane (1 G), 3. Ilya Sorokin (10 saves, .909).

Three stars

★
A. Lyon30 saves, 1.000
★★
P. Kane1 G
★★★
I. Sorokin10 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DET	13	06	02	111
NYI	08	014	08	030

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

P. Kane(1)
V. Tarasenko (1), J. Compher (2)
snapxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
1-0
8:54

Penalties

6 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

1:17Mike Reilly · Hookingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
10:21Ben Chiarot · Hookingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
17:02Moritz Seider · Trippingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min

3rd

14:31Erik Gustafsson · Interferencedrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NYI

Biggest swing: Patrick Kane, 1st 8:54 — DET 46% → 59%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.6 xG · 50 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 0.9 xG · 18 att NYI

0 G · 2.6 xG · 50 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

0.91 G
All situations: 0 G2.6; 0.81 G
Even strength: 0 G1.5; 0.10 G
Power play: 0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

18%82%

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.91 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

11
Shots on goal: 30; 48%
Faceoffs: 52%; 0/1
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 2; 10
Hits: 13; 15
Blocked shots: 9; 19
Giveaways: 16; 1
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

Detroit Red Wings skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
77S. EdvinssonD	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	3	0	—	24:34
8B. ChiarotD	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	4	2	—	23:38
53M. SeiderD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	—	22:36
71D. LarkinC	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	0	0	0	63	20:32
46J. PetryD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	—	19:39
23L. RaymondL	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	0	1	0	—	19:23
37J. CompherL	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	0	0	0	55	16:53
93A. DeBrincatR	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	100	15:35
3J. HollD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	14:47
27M. RasmussenC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	0	14:22
18A. CoppC	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	15	14:09
92M. KasperC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	50	14:08
56E. GustafssonD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	0	2	—	13:42
88P. KaneR	1	0	1	+1	1	0.19	0	1	0	—	13:17
11V. TarasenkoR	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	12:19
48J. BerggrenR	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	0	0	0	—	11:49
36C. FischerR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	11:34
90J. VelenoC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	0	11:03

Detroit Red Wings goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
34A. Lyon(W)	30	30	0	1.000	2.55	+2.55	60:00

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Oct 221@0this game
Nov 211@2Final
Nov 254@2Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders

1st period

2nd

3rd

Box score